Football · China Super League Women · 15/11, 07:00

Prediction: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Beijing (W)

Team pages: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) · Beijing (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)1.28

Beijing (W)0.91

1X2

44% 30% 26%

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) Draw Beijing (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWDD

Beijing (W) 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1–2 Beijing (W) (3 last)

Beijing (W)1-0Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Beijing (W)4-0Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)1-0Beijing (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1583 · Beijing (W) 1587

	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Draw	Beijing (W)
Our model	44%	31%	25%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Beijing (W): 2-0-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Beijing (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.5	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.4	3.1 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	3.25 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:52 +27’	2.00	3.30	3.25
03:27 +45’	2.00	3.10▼	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1–0–2 Beijing (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 China Super League Women	Beijing (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
28/09/25 China Super League Women	Beijing (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)
19/07/25 China Super League Women	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	1-0	Beijing (W)

Standings · China Super League Women · Chinese Super League, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	14	11	2	1	23	7	35
2	Beijing (W)	14	9	4	1	26	12	31
3	Wuhan Jiangda (W)	14	9	3	2	21	11	30
4	Shanghai (W)	14	7	5	2	24	12	26
5	Jiangsu Suning (W)	14	6	2	6	16	17	20
6	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	14	4	1	9	7	20	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)	Beijing (W)
Shanghai (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)	1-0 W	3-1 W
Guangxi Pingguo (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
Jiangsu Suning (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Changchun Dazhong (W)	1-0 W	3-1 W
Shaanxi Zhidan (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Shandong (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Beijing (W) (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-2	2	1	D
18/10	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
10/10	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
19/07	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
12/07	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
05/07	Wuhan Jiangda (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
28/06	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
24/06	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
19/06	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-0	2-1	5	0	W
13/06	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	3-0	3	1	W

Beijing (W)

WWWWWDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Jiangsu Suning (W) China Super League Women	0-1	1-1	10	1	D
19/10	Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) China Super League Women	2-1	3-1	6	1	W
11/10	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
19/07	Shandong (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	5	0	D
12/07	Shanghai (W) China Super League Women	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
05/07	Shaanxi Zhidan (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
29/06	Guangxi Pingguo (W) China Super League Women	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
24/06	Sichuan Jiannanchun Women China Super League Women	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
19/06	Changchun Dazhong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
13/06	Guangdong (W) China Super League Women	1-0	1-0	10	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Beijing (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 44%, draw 30%, Beijing (W) 26%.

How many goals are expected in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Beijing (W)?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) 1.28 · Beijing (W) 0.91), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (W) vs Beijing (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.