Football · Thailand Division 3 · 27/09, 11:30

Prediction: Customs United vs Fleet FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Customs United1.44
Fleet FC1.41
1X2
37% 27% 36%
Customs United Draw Fleet FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Customs United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWWLLWDLDW
Fleet FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLLDD
Head-to-head
Customs United 2–1–2 Fleet FC (5 last)
  • Customs United0-1Fleet FC
  • Fleet FC1-2Customs United
  • Customs United3-3Fleet FC
  • Fleet FC2-0Customs United
  • Fleet FC0-3Customs United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Customs United 1489 · Fleet FC 1522
Customs UnitedDrawFleet FC
Our model37%27%36%
Market38%26%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Customs UnitedFleet FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.41.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.72.3 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 04.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Customs United 2–1–2 Fleet FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
Thailand Division 3
Customs United0-1
HT 0-1
Fleet FC
27/09/25
Thailand Division 3
Fleet FC1-2
HT 1-1
Customs United
22/03/25
Thailand Division 3
Customs United3-3
HT 2-1
Fleet FC
23/11/24
Thailand Division 3
Fleet FC2-0
HT 0-0
Customs United
03/09/16
Thailand Division 2
Fleet FC0-3
HT 0-1
Customs United

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCustoms UnitedFleet FC
Saimit Kabin United 0-1 L 1-0 W
Bankhai United 1-2 L 3-0 W
BFB Pattaya City 2-0 W 4-0 W
Royal Navy 1-1 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Fleet FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Customs United

DWWLLWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/03 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 3-2 52 W
28/02 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
2-1 3-3 45 D
21/02 Saimit Kabin United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 13 L
15/02 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 53 D
01/02 Chachoengsao FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 105 W
24/01 Bankhai United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 51 L
17/01 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 15 L
11/01 BFB Pattaya City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 36 W
22/11 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
3-0 4-3 28 W
16/11 Royal Navy
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 17 D

Fleet FC

WWWWWWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/05 Muang Loei United
Thailand Division 3
2-1 2-2 53 D
10/05 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-2 00 D
02/05 Udon United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-4 87 L
28/04 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 57 L
25/04 Udon United
Thailand Division 3
– 2-0 –– W
22/03 BFB Pattaya City
Thailand Division 3
3-0 4-0 91 W
14/03 Royal Navy
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-1 215 W
08/03 Saimit Kabin United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 81 W
15/02 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-0 48 W
11/02 Bankhai United
Thailand Division 3
2-0 3-0 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Customs United vs Fleet FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Customs United win (37%). Probabilities: Customs United 37%, draw 27%, Fleet FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Customs United vs Fleet FC?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Customs United 1.44 · Fleet FC 1.41), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Customs United vs Fleet FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.