Football · Thailand Division 3 · 27/09, 10:30
Prediction: Prime Bangkok vs Pathum Thani University
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Prime Bangkok1.91
Pathum Thani University1.27
1X2
Prime Bangkok
Draw
Pathum Thani University
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Prime Bangkok
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Pathum Thani University
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Prime Bangkok
4–1–1
Pathum Thani University
(6 last)
- Prime Bangkok6-0Pathum Thani University
- Pathum Thani University1-1Prime Bangkok
- Pathum Thani University2-3Prime Bangkok
- Pathum Thani University2-0Prime Bangkok
- Pathum Thani University0-3Prime Bangkok
- Prime Bangkok3-2Pathum Thani University
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Prime Bangkok 1522 · Pathum Thani University 1484
| Prime Bangkok | Draw | Pathum Thani University | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Prime Bangkok: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Prime Bangkok | Pathum Thani University | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.5 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Prime Bangkok 4–1–1 Pathum Thani University
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Thailand Division 3 | Prime Bangkok | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Pathum Thani University |
| 08/10/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup | Pathum Thani University | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Prime Bangkok |
| 28/09/25 Thailand Division 3 | Pathum Thani University | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Prime Bangkok |
| 23/02/25 Thailand Division 3 | Pathum Thani University | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Prime Bangkok |
| 22/12/24 Thailand Division 3 Cup | Pathum Thani University | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Prime Bangkok |
| 27/10/24 Thailand Division 3 | Prime Bangkok | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Pathum Thani University |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Prime Bangkok | Pathum Thani University |
|---|---|---|
| Kasem Bundit University | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| North Bangkok University | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Singburi Warriors | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Saraburi United | 6-2 W | 4-2 W |
| Lopburi City FC | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Pathum Thani University (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Prime Bangkok
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/03 | Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 28/02 | Saraburi United Thailand Division 3 |
3-0 | 6-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/02 | Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
Pathum Thani University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 14/03 | Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/03 | Royal Thai Air Force FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 21/02 | Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/02 | Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/01 | Saraburi United Thailand Division 3 |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/01 | Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/01 | Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Prime Bangkok vs Pathum Thani University?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Prime Bangkok win (51%). Probabilities: Prime Bangkok 51%, draw 25%, Pathum Thani University 24%.
How many goals are expected in Prime Bangkok vs Pathum Thani University?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Prime Bangkok 1.91 · Pathum Thani University 1.27), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Prime Bangkok vs Pathum Thani University?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.