Football · Uganda Super League Women · 26/09, 15:00
Prediction: She Maroons (W) vs Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
She Maroons (W)0.58
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)1.46
1X2
She Maroons (W)
Draw
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-1 18%
Recent form · 10 last
She Maroons (W)
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
She Maroons (W)
1–2–3
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
(6 last)
- She Maroons (W)1-1Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
- Kawempe Muslim FC (W)2-0She Maroons (W)
- Kawempe Muslim FC (W)1-2She Maroons (W)
- She Maroons (W)0-1Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
- Kawempe Muslim FC (W)1-0She Maroons (W)
- She Maroons (W)0-0Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · She Maroons (W) 1531 · Kawempe Muslim FC (W) 1593
| She Maroons (W) | Draw | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 29% | 58% |
| Market | 16% | 25% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kawempe Muslim FC (W) (rating 1531 vs 1593).
- H2H favours Kawempe Muslim FC (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| She Maroons (W) | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 2.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 1.3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 1.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · She Maroons (W) 1–2–3 Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Uganda Super League Women | She Maroons (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) |
| 01/11/25 Uganda Super League Women | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | She Maroons (W) |
| 09/02/25 Uganda Super League Women | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | She Maroons (W) |
| 13/10/24 Uganda Super League Women | She Maroons (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) |
| 03/04/24 Uganda Super League Women | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | She Maroons (W) |
| 04/11/23 Uganda Super League Women | She Maroons (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | She Maroons (W) | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Rines SS (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Olila High School (W) | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Kampala Queens (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Makerere University (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Amus College WFC (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
She Maroons (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | St Noa GFC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Uganda Martyrs (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Olila High School (W) Uganda Super League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Kampala Queens (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Makerere University (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 07/03 | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/02 | Amus College WFC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 14/12 | Uganda Martyrs (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Jinja United (W) Uganda Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Olila High School (W) Uganda Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Kampala Queens (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Makerere University (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Asubo Gafford (W) Uganda Super League Women |
4-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Lady Doves FC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Amus College WFC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/03 | She Corporate (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/03 | She Maroons (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in She Maroons (W) vs Kawempe Muslim FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kawempe Muslim FC (W) win (59%). Probabilities: She Maroons (W) 15%, draw 27%, Kawempe Muslim FC (W) 59%.
How many goals are expected in She Maroons (W) vs Kawempe Muslim FC (W)?
The model expects 2.04 goals (She Maroons (W) 0.58 · Kawempe Muslim FC (W) 1.46), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in She Maroons (W) vs Kawempe Muslim FC (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.