Football · Thailand Division 3 · 26/09, 13:00

Prediction: Thap Luang United vs Suphanburi FC

Team pages: Thap Luang United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
Thap Luang United1.16
Suphanburi FC0.93
1X2
41% 30% 29%
Thap Luang United Draw Suphanburi FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Thap Luang United 5-5-0 (W-D-L)
DDWDDWWWWD
Suphanburi FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWLDDWWWDW
Head-to-head
Thap Luang United 1–0 Suphanburi FC (1 last)
  • Thap Luang United1-0Suphanburi FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thap Luang United 1584 · Suphanburi FC 1537
Thap Luang UnitedDrawSuphanburi FC
Our model40%32%28%
Market42%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thap Luang United (rating 1584 vs 1537).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Thap Luang UnitedSuphanburi FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.41.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.51.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.53.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Thap Luang United 1–0–0 Suphanburi FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/10/25
Thailand Division 3
Thap Luang United1-0
HT 1-0
Suphanburi FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentThap Luang UnitedSuphanburi FC
VRN Muangnont FC 0-0 D 1-1 D
Nonthaburi United 1-0 W 0-0 D
Thonburi United FC 1-0 W 2-2 D
Samut Sakhon 3-1 W 1-2 L
Hua Hin City 1-1 D 2-1 W
Samut Songkhram City 2-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Thap Luang United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thap Luang United

DDWDDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 46 D
22/03 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 32 W
07/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 43 W
28/02 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-1 3-1 23 W
21/02 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-0 00 W
15/02 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 35 D
24/01 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 13 D
11/01 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 04 W
20/11 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 51 D
16/11 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 38 D

Suphanburi FC

LWLDDWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/03 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-0 58 W
28/02 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 42 D
14/02 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 43 W
01/02 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-1 45 W
24/01 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-1 23 W
17/01 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 32 D
11/01 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-2 11 D
23/11 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 13 L
15/11 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 3-1 43 W
08/11 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-3 96 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thap Luang United vs Suphanburi FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Thap Luang United win (41%). Probabilities: Thap Luang United 41%, draw 30%, Suphanburi FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Thap Luang United vs Suphanburi FC?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Thap Luang United 1.16 · Suphanburi FC 0.93), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Thap Luang United vs Suphanburi FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.