Prediction: Thap Luang United vs Suphanburi FC
Team pages: Thap Luang United
- Thap Luang United1-0Suphanburi FC
| Thap Luang United | Draw | Suphanburi FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 32% | 28% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thap Luang United (rating 1584 vs 1537).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thap Luang United | Suphanburi FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.5 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thap Luang United 1–0–0 Suphanburi FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Thailand Division 3 | Thap Luang United | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Suphanburi FC |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thap Luang United | Suphanburi FC |
|---|---|---|
| VRN Muangnont FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Nonthaburi United | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Thonburi United FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Samut Sakhon | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Hua Hin City | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Samut Songkhram City | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Thap Luang United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thap Luang United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/03 | Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 07/03 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/02 | Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15/02 | Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/01 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 11/01 | Samut Songkhram City Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 20/11 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/11 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Suphanburi FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 28/02 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/02 | Assumption United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/02 | Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 24/01 | Samut Songkhram City Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/01 | Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/01 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 23/11 | Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/11 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/11 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thap Luang United vs Suphanburi FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Thap Luang United win (41%). Probabilities: Thap Luang United 41%, draw 30%, Suphanburi FC 29%.
How many goals are expected in Thap Luang United vs Suphanburi FC?
The model expects 2.09 goals (Thap Luang United 1.16 · Suphanburi FC 0.93), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Thap Luang United vs Suphanburi FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

