Prediction: Assumption United vs Samut Songkhram City
Team pages: Assumption United
- Assumption United0-1Samut Songkhram City
- Assumption United1-2Samut Songkhram City
| Assumption United | Draw | Samut Songkhram City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Assumption United (rating 1474 vs 1420).
- H2H favours Samut Songkhram City: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Assumption United | Samut Songkhram City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Assumption United 0–0–2 Samut Songkhram City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/25 Thailand Division 3 | Assumption United | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Samut Songkhram City |
| 27/10/24 Thailand Division 3 | Assumption United | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Samut Songkhram City |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Assumption United | Samut Songkhram City |
|---|---|---|
| VRN Muangnont FC | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Raj Pracha | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Suphanburi FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Royal Thai Army | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Samut Sakhon | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Hua Hin City | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Nonthaburi United | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Assumption United (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Assumption United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/03 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/02 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/02 | Suphanburi FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/02 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/02 | Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/01 | Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/01 | Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3 |
4-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/11 | Thonburi United FC Thailand Division 3 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
Samut Songkhram City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | Raj Pracha Thailand Division 3 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/03 | Hua Hin City Thailand Division 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Nonthaburi United Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/02 | Samut Sakhon Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/02 | VRN Muangnont FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 31/01 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 24/01 | Suphanburi FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/01 | Thap Luang United Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/11 | Royal Thai Army Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Assumption United vs Samut Songkhram City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Assumption United win (45%). Probabilities: Assumption United 45%, draw 28%, Samut Songkhram City 27%.
How many goals are expected in Assumption United vs Samut Songkhram City?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Assumption United 1.35 · Samut Songkhram City 0.99), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Assumption United vs Samut Songkhram City?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.