Football · Spain Tercera Group 15 · 23/10, 20:00
Prediction: Huarte vs Avance
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Huarte1.35
Avance1.1
1X2
Huarte
Draw
Avance
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Huarte
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Avance
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Huarte
2–4
Avance
(6 last)
- Avance1-0Huarte
- Huarte0-1Avance
- Huarte0-1Avance
- Avance2-4Huarte
- Huarte2-1Avance
- Avance1-0Huarte
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Huarte 1458 · Avance 1498
| Huarte | Draw | Avance | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avance (rating 1458 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Avance: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huarte | Avance | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.8 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.8 / 0.2 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Huarte 2–0–4 Avance
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 15 | Avance | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Huarte |
| 15/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 15 | Huarte | 0-1 | Avance |
| 08/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 15 | Huarte | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Avance |
| 21/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 15 | Avance | 2-4 | Huarte |
| 15/02/23 Spain Tercera Group 15 | Huarte | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Avance |
| 22/10/22 Spain Tercera Group 15 | Avance | 1-0 | Huarte |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 15
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Mutilvera | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
| 3 | Beti Kozkor KE | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | CF Gazte Berriak | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Avance | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | AD San Juan | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 7 | Subiza | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Aoiz | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Valle Egues | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Doneztebe FT | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | CD Beti Onak | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Cirbonero | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 8 |
| 13 | CD Pamplona | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | UDC Txantrea | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | CD Cortes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 5 |
| 16 | Huarte | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 17 | Bidezarra | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 3 |
| 18 | CD Cantolagua | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Huarte | Avance |
|---|---|---|
| Doneztebe FT | 3-3 D | 1-3 L |
| Aoiz | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CD Cantolagua | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Mutilvera | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Huarte
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Valle Egues Spain Tercera Group 15 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 09/10 | CF Gazte Berriak Spain Tercera Group 15 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 03/10 | CD Pamplona Spain Tercera Group 15 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 25/09 | Doneztebe FT Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/09 | Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | CD Cantolagua Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Mutilvera Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | CD Pamplona Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Cirbonero Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | At. Artajones Spain Tercera Group 15 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Avance
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Doneztebe FT Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | CD Cantolagua Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Mutilvera Spain Tercera Group 15 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Subiza Spain Tercera Group 15 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | CD Beti Onak Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | UDC Txantrea Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | CD Beti Onak Spain Tercera Group 15 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Ardoi Spain Tercera Group 15 |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Huarte vs Avance?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Huarte win (42%). Probabilities: Huarte 42%, draw 28%, Avance 30%.
How many goals are expected in Huarte vs Avance?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Huarte 1.35 · Avance 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Huarte vs Avance?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.