Football · Spain Tercera Group 15 · 13/11, 20:15

Prediction: Beti Kozkor KE vs Doneztebe FT

Team pages: Beti Kozkor KE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Beti Kozkor KE1.51

Doneztebe FT1.19

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Beti Kozkor KE Draw Doneztebe FT

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Beti Kozkor KE 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWWLLL

Doneztebe FT 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDLDWWLD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beti Kozkor KE 1496 · Doneztebe FT 1507

	Beti Kozkor KE	Draw	Doneztebe FT
Our model	43%	28%	29%
Market	44%	27%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Beti Kozkor KE	Doneztebe FT
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	– / –	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	//%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	1.5 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.30

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:00 +3’	2.05	3.30	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Spain Tercera Group 15

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Izarra	10	8	2	0	28	6	26
2	Mutilvera	10	6	4	0	17	5	22
3	Subiza	10	5	1	4	19	15	16
4	Beti Kozkor KE	10	5	1	4	12	13	16
5	Valle Egues	10	4	4	2	17	14	16
6	AD San Juan	10	4	3	3	17	10	15
7	CF Gazte Berriak	10	4	3	3	9	7	15
8	Avance	10	4	2	4	15	11	14
9	Aoiz	10	3	5	2	12	9	14
10	Doneztebe FT	10	3	4	3	17	13	13
11	UDC Txantrea	10	3	4	3	12	13	13
12	Cirbonero	10	3	3	4	10	14	12
13	CD Cantolagua	10	4	0	6	8	21	12
14	CD Beti Onak	10	2	5	3	12	14	11
15	Huarte	10	1	5	4	7	15	8
16	CD Pamplona	10	1	4	5	7	15	7
17	CD Cortes	10	1	3	6	5	19	6
18	Bidezarra	10	0	5	5	7	17	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Beti Kozkor KE	Doneztebe FT
Aoiz	2-4 L	0-2 L
CD Cantolagua	0-1 L	6-0 W
CD Pamplona	1-0 W	1-1 D
Bidezarra	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beti Kozkor KE

DWWLWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-4	–	–	L
31/10	CD Cantolagua Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
24/10	Mutilvera Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-3	–	–	L
17/10	Subiza Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/10	CD Beti Onak Spain Tercera Group 15	–	3-0	–	–	W
03/10	UDC Txantrea Spain Tercera Group 15	–	2-0	–	–	W
26/09	Izarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-4	–	–	L
19/09	CD Cortes Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	CD Pamplona Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Bidezarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-0	–	–	D

Doneztebe FT

WLDDLDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Bidezarra Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
30/10	AD San Juan Spain Tercera Group 15	1-0	1-3	0	7	L
25/10	Cirbonero Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-0	–	–	W
17/10	Avance Spain Tercera Group 15	–	3-1	–	–	W
09/10	Valle Egues Spain Tercera Group 15	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
04/10	CF Gazte Berriak Spain Tercera Group 15	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/09	Huarte Spain Tercera Group 15	–	3-3	–	–	D
19/09	CD Pamplona Spain Tercera Group 15	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/09	Aoiz Spain Tercera Group 15	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
06/09	CD Cantolagua Spain Tercera Group 15	–	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beti Kozkor KE vs Doneztebe FT?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Beti Kozkor KE win (44%). Probabilities: Beti Kozkor KE 44%, draw 27%, Doneztebe FT 29%.

How many goals are expected in Beti Kozkor KE vs Doneztebe FT?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Beti Kozkor KE 1.51 · Doneztebe FT 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Beti Kozkor KE vs Doneztebe FT?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.