Prediction: Al-Mabarrah vs Shabab Al-Sahel
Team pages: Al-Mabarrah · Shabab Al-Sahel
- Al-Mabarrah1-0Shabab Al-Sahel
- Shabab Al-Sahel0-0Al-Mabarrah
- Al-Mabarrah2-0Shabab Al-Sahel
| Al-Mabarrah | Draw | Shabab Al-Sahel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| Market | 28% | 29% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shabab Al-Sahel (rating 1409 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Al-Mabarrah: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al-Mabarrah | Shabab Al-Sahel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.9 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 2 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/11/78% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3 | 1.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al-Mabarrah 2–1–0 Shabab Al-Sahel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Lebanon League | Al-Mabarrah | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shabab Al-Sahel |
| 19/09/25 Lebanon League | Shabab Al-Sahel | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al-Mabarrah |
| 25/02/18 Lebanon Division 2 | Al-Mabarrah | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Shabab Al-Sahel |
Standings · Lebanon League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jwaya FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 2 | Safa Beirut | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Tadamon Sour | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Al Ahed | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | AC Tripoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Al Nejmeh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Sagesse SC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 8 | Al Ansar Beirut | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Al-Mabarrah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Reyady Abaseya | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 11 | Shabab Al-Sahel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 12 | Akhaa Ahli Aley | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al-Mabarrah | Shabab Al-Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Reyady Abaseya | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Al Ahed | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Jwaya FC | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Safa Beirut | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Al Ansar Beirut | 0-7 L | 0-3 L |
| Tadamon Sour | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Shabab Al-Sahel (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al-Mabarrah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | AC Tripoli Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/10 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/10 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/06 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-4 | 0-7 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 16/06 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
– | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
Shabab Al-Sahel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/10 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/10 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/07 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al-Mabarrah vs Shabab Al-Sahel?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shabab Al-Sahel win (42%). Probabilities: Al-Mabarrah 28%, draw 30%, Shabab Al-Sahel 42%.
How many goals are expected in Al-Mabarrah vs Shabab Al-Sahel?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Al-Mabarrah 0.95 · Shabab Al-Sahel 1.24), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al-Mabarrah vs Shabab Al-Sahel?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.