Football · North Macedonia League Women · 25/09, 16:00
Prediction: ZFK Istatov (W) vs ZFK Ljuboten (W)
Team pages: ZFK Ljuboten (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.12Total
ZFK Istatov (W)1.06
ZFK Ljuboten (W)3.06
1X2
ZFK Istatov (W)
Draw
ZFK Ljuboten (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
ZFK Istatov (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
ZFK Ljuboten (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ZFK Istatov (W)
0–1–5
ZFK Ljuboten (W)
(6 last)
- ZFK Istatov (W)2-2ZFK Ljuboten (W)
- ZFK Ljuboten (W)5-0ZFK Istatov (W)
- ZFK Istatov (W)1-2ZFK Ljuboten (W)
- ZFK Ljuboten (W)7-0ZFK Istatov (W)
- ZFK Istatov (W)0-3ZFK Ljuboten (W)
- ZFK Ljuboten (W)5-1ZFK Istatov (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ZFK Istatov (W) 1534 · ZFK Ljuboten (W) 1559
| ZFK Istatov (W) | Draw | ZFK Ljuboten (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 4% | 11% | 85% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.12 goals · Bet365 line 4.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours ZFK Ljuboten (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ZFK Istatov (W) | ZFK Ljuboten (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 4.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 5.2 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ZFK Istatov (W) 0–1–5 ZFK Ljuboten (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/25 North Macedonia League Women | ZFK Istatov (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | ZFK Ljuboten (W) |
| 17/08/25 North Macedonia League Women | ZFK Ljuboten (W) | 5-0 HT 0-0 | ZFK Istatov (W) |
| 11/05/25 North Macedonia League Women | ZFK Istatov (W) | 1-2 HT 1-2 | ZFK Ljuboten (W) |
| 09/03/25 North Macedonia League Women | ZFK Ljuboten (W) | 7-0 HT 4-0 | ZFK Istatov (W) |
| 02/05/24 North Macedonia League Women | ZFK Istatov (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | ZFK Ljuboten (W) |
| 02/12/23 North Macedonia League Women | ZFK Ljuboten (W) | 5-1 HT 3-1 | ZFK Istatov (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ZFK Istatov (W) | ZFK Ljuboten (W) |
|---|---|---|
| ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| ZFK Kamenica Sasa (W) | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| ZFK Top Gol (W) | 3-0 W | 9-0 W |
| ZFK Kocani (W) | 3-0 W | 8-2 W |
| ZFK Tiverija (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: ZFK Ljuboten (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ZFK Istatov (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) North Macedonia League Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 08/09 | Pelister Bitola (W) North Macedonia League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) North Macedonia League Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | ZFK Kamenica Sasa (W) North Macedonia League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | ZFK Top Gol (W) North Macedonia League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 21/02 | ZFK Kocani (W) North Macedonia League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 19/11 | ZFK Kamenica Sasa (W) North Macedonia League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/11 | ZFK Tiverija (W) North Macedonia League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/10 | ZFK Ljuboten (W) North Macedonia League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | ZFK Recica (W) North Macedonia League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
ZFK Ljuboten (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | ZFK Vardar (W) North Macedonia League Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | ZFK Tiverija (W) North Macedonia League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | ZFK Kocani (W) North Macedonia League Women |
5-1 | 8-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | ZFK Kamenica Sasa (W) North Macedonia League Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | ZFK Vardar (W) North Macedonia League Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | ZFK Skopje 2014 (W) North Macedonia League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | ZFK Tiverija (W) North Macedonia League Women |
0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 05/04 | ZFK Kamenica Sasa (W) North Macedonia League Women |
0-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | ZFK Top Gol (W) North Macedonia League Women |
5-0 | 9-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | ZFK Kocani (W) North Macedonia League Women |
7-0 | 16-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ZFK Istatov (W) vs ZFK Ljuboten (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an ZFK Ljuboten (W) win (81%). Probabilities: ZFK Istatov (W) 7%, draw 12%, ZFK Ljuboten (W) 81%.
How many goals are expected in ZFK Istatov (W) vs ZFK Ljuboten (W)?
The model expects 4.12 goals (ZFK Istatov (W) 1.06 · ZFK Ljuboten (W) 3.06), with a 53% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ZFK Istatov (W) vs ZFK Ljuboten (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.