Football · Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur · 25/09, 20:00
Prediction: Koeppchen Wormeldange vs FC Berdenia Berbourg
Team pages: Koeppchen Wormeldange
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Koeppchen Wormeldange1.43
FC Berdenia Berbourg1.68
1X2
Koeppchen Wormeldange
Draw
FC Berdenia Berbourg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Koeppchen Wormeldange
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
FC Berdenia Berbourg
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Koeppchen Wormeldange
2–2–2
FC Berdenia Berbourg
(6 last)
- Koeppchen Wormeldange1-1FC Berdenia Berbourg
- FC Berdenia Berbourg2-1Koeppchen Wormeldange
- FC Berdenia Berbourg1-1Koeppchen Wormeldange
- Koeppchen Wormeldange3-1FC Berdenia Berbourg
- FC Berdenia Berbourg1-0Koeppchen Wormeldange
- Koeppchen Wormeldange1-0FC Berdenia Berbourg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koeppchen Wormeldange 1416 · FC Berdenia Berbourg 1495
| Koeppchen Wormeldange | Draw | FC Berdenia Berbourg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Berdenia Berbourg (rating 1416 vs 1495).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Koeppchen Wormeldange | FC Berdenia Berbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | – / – |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/0/100% | //% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Koeppchen Wormeldange 2–2–2 FC Berdenia Berbourg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | Koeppchen Wormeldange | 1-1 | FC Berdenia Berbourg |
| 31/08/25 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | FC Berdenia Berbourg | 2-1 | Koeppchen Wormeldange |
| 11/05/25 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | FC Berdenia Berbourg | 1-1 | Koeppchen Wormeldange |
| 01/12/24 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | Koeppchen Wormeldange | 3-1 | FC Berdenia Berbourg |
| 25/02/24 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | FC Berdenia Berbourg | 1-0 | Koeppchen Wormeldange |
| 03/09/23 Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur | Koeppchen Wormeldange | 1-0 | FC Berdenia Berbourg |
Standings · Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rodange | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | US Feulen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
| 3 | FC The Belval Belvaux | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Lorentzweiler | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Berdenia Berbourg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | CS Fola Esch | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Jeunesse Canach | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Mamer 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | SC Bettembourg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 10 | UT Petange | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 6 |
| 11 | FC Luxemburg City | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | FC Mondercange | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 5 |
| 13 | Union Remich/Bous | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| 14 | Avenir Beggen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 15 | Koeppchen Wormeldange | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 1 |
| 16 | FC Marisca Mersch | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Koeppchen Wormeldange | FC Berdenia Berbourg |
|---|---|---|
| FC Luxemburg City | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Rodange | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Rumelange | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Berdenia Berbourg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koeppchen Wormeldange
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Rodange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Jeunesse Canach Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Rumelange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | US Feulen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | SC Bettembourg Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | FC The Belval Belvaux Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | CS Fola Esch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
FC Berdenia Berbourg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | FC Marisca Mersch Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Union Remich/Bous Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Avenir Beggen Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/08 | FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | FC Rodange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | FC Alisontia Steinsel Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | FC Luxemburg City Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Wiltz Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Lorentzweiler Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Rumelange Luxembourg Promotion D’Honneur |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koeppchen Wormeldange vs FC Berdenia Berbourg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Berdenia Berbourg win (43%). Probabilities: Koeppchen Wormeldange 32%, draw 25%, FC Berdenia Berbourg 43%.
How many goals are expected in Koeppchen Wormeldange vs FC Berdenia Berbourg?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Koeppchen Wormeldange 1.43 · FC Berdenia Berbourg 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Koeppchen Wormeldange vs FC Berdenia Berbourg?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.