Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 25/09, 20:45
Prediction: Wayside Celtic vs Tolka Rovers
Team pages: Wayside Celtic · Tolka Rovers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
Wayside Celtic3.07
Tolka Rovers1.07
1X2
Wayside Celtic
Draw
Tolka Rovers
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Wayside Celtic
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Tolka Rovers
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wayside Celtic
2–3–1
Tolka Rovers
(6 last)
- Wayside Celtic2-0Tolka Rovers
- Tolka Rovers1-1Wayside Celtic
- Tolka Rovers0-0Wayside Celtic
- Wayside Celtic2-3Tolka Rovers
- Wayside Celtic1-1Tolka Rovers
- Wayside Celtic2-1Tolka Rovers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wayside Celtic 1520 · Tolka Rovers 1413
| Wayside Celtic | Draw | Tolka Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 77% | 14% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wayside Celtic (rating 1520 vs 1413).
- H2H favours Wayside Celtic: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wayside Celtic | Tolka Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.6 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wayside Celtic 2–3–1 Tolka Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Wayside Celtic | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tolka Rovers |
| 15/08/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Tolka Rovers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Wayside Celtic |
| 27/05/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Tolka Rovers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wayside Celtic |
| 12/09/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Wayside Celtic | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Tolka Rovers |
| 14/05/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Wayside Celtic | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tolka Rovers |
| 06/10/23 Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup | Wayside Celtic | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tolka Rovers |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wayside Celtic | Tolka Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Glebe North FC | 6-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Montpelier FC | 5-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Killester Donnycarney FC | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Inchicore Athletic FC | 3-3 D | 0-5 L |
| Lucan United | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Wayside Celtic (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wayside Celtic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Crumlin United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Glebe North FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Montpelier FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/08 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/06 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Tolka Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 01/09 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Glebe North FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/08 | Bangor Celtic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Montpelier FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wayside Celtic vs Tolka Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wayside Celtic win (76%). Probabilities: Wayside Celtic 76%, draw 14%, Tolka Rovers 9%.
How many goals are expected in Wayside Celtic vs Tolka Rovers?
The model expects 4.14 goals (Wayside Celtic 3.07 · Tolka Rovers 1.07), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wayside Celtic vs Tolka Rovers?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.