Football · Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi · 27/09, 14:30

Prediction: Ankara Demirspor vs Adanaspor

Team pages: Ankara Demirspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.99Total
Ankara Demirspor2.23
Adanaspor1.76
1X2
47% 23% 29%
Ankara Demirspor Draw Adanaspor
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Ankara Demirspor 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLDWWD
Adanaspor 0-0-10 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Ankara Demirspor 2–0 Adanaspor (2 last)
  • Adanaspor0-3Ankara Demirspor
  • Ankara Demirspor5-0Adanaspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ankara Demirspor 1521 · Adanaspor 1315
Ankara DemirsporDrawAdanaspor
Our model48%22%30%
Market47%24%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ankara Demirspor (rating 1521 vs 1315).
  • H2H favours Ankara Demirspor: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ankara DemirsporAdanaspor
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.50.2 / 5.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.1 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.9– / 0.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.32.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ankara Demirspor 2–0–0 Adanaspor

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
Adanaspor0-3
HT 0-1
Ankara Demirspor
25/10/25
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
Ankara Demirspor5-0
HT 1-0
Adanaspor

Standings · Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi · 2. Lig 26/27, Kirmizi Grup

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sakaryaspor 3300 839
2 Ankara Demirspor 3210 637
3 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi FK 3210 427
4 52 Orduspor FK 3201 636
5 24 Erzincanspor 3120 655
6 12 Bingolspor 3120 435
6 Serikspor 3120 435
8 Karacabey Birlikspor AS 2110 214
9 Adana 01 3111 674
10 Kutahyaspor 3102 543
11 Kirklarelispor 2101 223
12 Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor 3021 352
13 1461 Trabzon FK 3012 461
14 Inegolspor 3012 351
15 Ankaragucu 3012 131
16 Fethiyespor 3012 271
17 Iskenderunspor 2002 15-2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAnkara DemirsporAdanaspor
1461 Trabzon FK 2-2 D 0-3 L
Fethiyespor 3-1 W 0-6 L
Guzide Gebzespor 2-2 D 0-7 L
Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor 0-2 L 1-7 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ankara Demirspor (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ankara Demirspor

LLWDLLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 1461 Trabzon FK
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-2 2-2 96 D
12/09 Fethiyespor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 3-1 71 W
06/09 Ankaragucu
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 1-0 26 W
25/04 Guzide Gebzespor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
2-1 2-2 46 D
19/04 Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 0-2 13 L
12/04 Bursaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-1 0-1 –– L
04/04 68 Yeni Aksarayspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-2 2-2 31 D
29/03 Menemen
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
2-0 2-0 95 W
24/03 Kirklarelispor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-1 0-2 85 L
14/03 Isparta 32 Spor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-2 1-3 105 L

Adanaspor

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/04 Mus Spor FC
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-1 0-6 –– L
18/04 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-1 0-1 –– L
04/04 1461 Trabzon FK
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-1 0-3 –– L
25/03 Aliaga Futbol AS
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
1-0 1-8 06 L
15/03 Somaspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-0 0-5 –– L
08/03 Ankara Demirspor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-1 0-3 21 L
01/03 Mardin 1969
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-3 0-5 –– L
21/02 Fethiyespor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-2 0-6 –– L
15/02 Guzide Gebzespor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-4 0-7 01 L
09/02 Kahramanmaras Istiklal Spor
Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi
0-3 1-7 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ankara Demirspor vs Adanaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ankara Demirspor win (47%). Probabilities: Ankara Demirspor 47%, draw 23%, Adanaspor 29%.

How many goals are expected in Ankara Demirspor vs Adanaspor?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Ankara Demirspor 2.23 · Adanaspor 1.76), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ankara Demirspor vs Adanaspor?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.