Football · Ivory Coast Premier Division · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: Stade d'Abidjan vs FC Mouna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Stade d'Abidjan1.27
FC Mouna0.95
1X2
Stade d'Abidjan
Draw
FC Mouna
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Stade d'Abidjan
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Mouna
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stade d'Abidjan
3–2–1
FC Mouna
(6 last)
- FC Mouna1-2Stade d'Abidjan
- Stade d'Abidjan1-2FC Mouna
- FC Mouna0-3Stade d'Abidjan
- Stade d'Abidjan1-1FC Mouna
- Stade d'Abidjan3-0FC Mouna
- FC Mouna1-1Stade d'Abidjan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stade d'Abidjan 1525 · FC Mouna 1533
| Stade d'Abidjan | Draw | FC Mouna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stade d'Abidjan: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stade d'Abidjan | FC Mouna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 100/0/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stade d'Abidjan 3–2–1 FC Mouna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 Ivory Coast Premier Division | FC Mouna | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Stade d'Abidjan |
| 29/09/25 Ivory Coast Premier Division | Stade d'Abidjan | 1-2 | FC Mouna |
| 03/05/25 Ivory Coast Premier Division | FC Mouna | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Stade d'Abidjan |
| 21/12/24 Ivory Coast Premier Division | Stade d'Abidjan | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Mouna |
| 09/05/24 Ivory Coast Premier Division | Stade d'Abidjan | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Mouna |
| 20/11/23 Ivory Coast Premier Division | FC Mouna | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Stade d'Abidjan |
Standings · Ivory Coast Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFAD Djekanou | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ASEC Mimosas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bouaké FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CO Korhogo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES D'Agboville | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San-Pédro FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ISCA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Mouna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OFC Adiake | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Societe Omnisports De L'Armee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SOL FC Abobo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade d'Abidjan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stella Club d'Adjame | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Tchologo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yamoussoukro FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zoman FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stade d'Abidjan | FC Mouna |
|---|---|---|
| Zoman FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Racing Club Abidjan | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| AFAD Djekanou | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| ES D'Agboville | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Societe Omnisports De L'Armee | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| SOL FC Abobo | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Mouna (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stade d'Abidjan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Zoman FC Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Racing Club Abidjan Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Stella Club d'Adjame Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/05 | AFAD Djekanou Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | US Tchologo Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | ES D'Agboville Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/04 | Bouaké FC Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | Societe Omnisports De L'Armee Ivory Coast Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | SOL FC Abobo Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/03 | Olympique Sport d'Abobo Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
FC Mouna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | CO Korhogo Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | San-Pédro FC Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | ES D'Agboville Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/05 | Zoman FC Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | AFAD Djekanou Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Societe Omnisports De L'Armee Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | SOL FC Abobo Ivory Coast Premier Division |
2-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | ASEC Mimosas Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/03 | Racing Club Abidjan Ivory Coast Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/03 | ISCA Ivory Coast Premier Division |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stade d'Abidjan vs FC Mouna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stade d'Abidjan win (43%). Probabilities: Stade d'Abidjan 43%, draw 29%, FC Mouna 27%.
How many goals are expected in Stade d'Abidjan vs FC Mouna?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Stade d'Abidjan 1.27 · FC Mouna 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Stade d'Abidjan vs FC Mouna?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.