Football · Dominican Republic Liga · 23/09, 22:00

Prediction: Universidad O&M vs Atlantico FC

Team pages: Universidad O&M · Atlantico FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Universidad O&M2.25

Atlantico FC1.1

1X2

63% 20% 17%

Universidad O&M Draw Atlantico FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Universidad O&M 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLDWWD

Atlantico FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDLLLL

Head-to-head

Universidad O&M 1–3–2 Atlantico FC (6 last)

Universidad O&M0-2Atlantico FC
Atlantico FC2-1Universidad O&M
Atlantico FC1-1Universidad O&M
Universidad O&M0-0Atlantico FC
Universidad O&M0-0Atlantico FC
Atlantico FC0-2Universidad O&M

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad O&M 1471 · Atlantico FC 1443

	Universidad O&M	Draw	Atlantico FC
Our model	62%	21%	16%
Market	63%	20%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atlantico FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universidad O&M	Atlantico FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	0.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +2’	1.42	4.50	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad O&M 1–3–2 Atlantico FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/12/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	0-2 HT 0-1	Atlantico FC
27/09/25 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Universidad O&M
04/08/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Universidad O&M
13/07/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	0-0 HT 0-0	Atlantico FC
05/05/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Universidad O&M	0-0 HT 0-0	Atlantico FC
03/04/24 Dominican Republic Liga	Atlantico FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Universidad O&M

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universidad O&M	Atlantico FC
Cibao FC	1-1 D	1-4 L
Jarabacoa FC	4-0 W	0-2 L
Delfines Del Este	1-0 W	0-0 D
Moca FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Atletico Vega Real	1-2 L	0-5 L
Salcedo FC	1-3 L	1-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Universidad O&M (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad O&M

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
05/09	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
30/08	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/08	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L
23/08	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
24/04	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
20/04	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-3	7	2	L
12/04	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
09/04	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-2	1-3	4	4	L

Atlantico FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-3	0-5	2	4	L
06/09	Salcedo FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-3	1-6	4	4	L
29/08	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-3	1-4	3	6	L
25/08	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	Delfines Del Este Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
17/12	Jarabacoa FC Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	1-1	5	0	D
14/12	Universidad O&M Dominican Republic Liga	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
06/12	Moca FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
23/11	Atletico Vega Real Dominican Republic Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
09/11	Cibao FC Dominican Republic Liga	0-2	0-5	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad O&M vs Atlantico FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad O&M win (63%). Probabilities: Universidad O&M 63%, draw 20%, Atlantico FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Universidad O&M vs Atlantico FC?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Universidad O&M 2.25 · Atlantico FC 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Universidad O&M vs Atlantico FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.