Football · New Zealand Football Championship · 27/09, 03:00

Prediction: Auckland FC II vs Wellington Olympic

Team pages: Auckland FC II · Wellington Olympic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Auckland FC II1.66

Wellington Olympic1.61

1X2

38% 25% 36%

Auckland FC II Draw Wellington Olympic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Auckland FC II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWDWWW

Wellington Olympic 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLWWD

Head-to-head

Auckland FC II 1–0 Wellington Olympic (1 last)

Auckland FC II2-1Wellington Olympic

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wellington Olympic (rating 1533 vs 1581).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Auckland FC II	Wellington Olympic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.1	2.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.89

Under 3.51.89

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.60
X	4.44 → 4.44	Pinn 4.44
2	1.69 → 1.69	Pinn 1.69

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +41’	3.60	4.44	1.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Auckland FC II 1–0–0 Wellington Olympic

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 New Zealand Football Championship	Auckland FC II	2-1 HT 0-1	Wellington Olympic

Standings · New Zealand Football Championship · Northern League 2026

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Birkenhead United	22	18	4	0	58	13	58
2	Eastern Suburbs Auckland	22	14	5	3	41	9	47
3	Auckland City	22	14	3	5	51	19	45
4	Auckland United FC	22	12	5	5	47	21	41
5	Fencibles United	22	13	2	7	55	36	41
6	East Coast Bays	22	10	5	7	34	35	35
7	Auckland FC II	22	8	3	11	38	40	27
8	Western Springs AFC	22	7	3	12	33	40	24
9	Melville United	22	6	2	14	24	48	20
10	Bay Olympic	22	4	4	14	23	56	16
11	Tauranga City AFC	22	4	3	15	29	52	15
12	Manukau United	22	2	1	19	14	78	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Auckland FC II	Wellington Olympic
Auckland United FC	3-0 W	3-0 W
Christchurch United	4-1 W	2-3 L
Western Suburbs	1-1 D	1-0 W
Birkenhead United	3-0 W	4-2 W
Auckland City	1-1 D	1-1 D
Coastal Spirit	0-1 L	3-1 W
Western Springs AFC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Miramar Rangers	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wellington Olympic (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Auckland FC II

LWDLDWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/12	Auckland United FC New Zealand Football Championship	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
29/11	Christchurch United New Zealand Football Championship	2-0	4-1	7	6	W
15/11	Wellington Olympic New Zealand Football Championship	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
09/11	Western Suburbs New Zealand Football Championship	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
02/11	Birkenhead United New Zealand Football Championship	3-0	3-0	6	1	W
26/10	Auckland City New Zealand Football Championship	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
18/10	Coastal Spirit New Zealand Football Championship	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
12/10	Western Springs AFC New Zealand Football Championship	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
04/10	Wellington Phoenix Reserves New Zealand Football Championship	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
27/09	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Football Championship	0-1	0-3	4	2	L

Wellington Olympic

WWLWWLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/12	Auckland City New Zealand Football Championship	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
06/12	Miramar Rangers New Zealand Football Championship	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
30/11	Auckland United FC New Zealand Football Championship	3-0	3-0	3	1	W
22/11	Christchurch United New Zealand Football Championship	1-0	2-3	5	1	L
15/11	Auckland FC II New Zealand Football Championship	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
01/11	Western Suburbs New Zealand Football Championship	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
26/10	Birkenhead United New Zealand Football Championship	1-2	4-2	5	4	W
18/10	Auckland City New Zealand Football Championship	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
12/10	Coastal Spirit New Zealand Football Championship	3-0	3-1	6	1	W
04/10	Western Springs AFC New Zealand Football Championship	1-1	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Auckland FC II vs Wellington Olympic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Auckland FC II win (38%). Probabilities: Auckland FC II 38%, draw 25%, Wellington Olympic 36%.

How many goals are expected in Auckland FC II vs Wellington Olympic?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Auckland FC II 1.66 · Wellington Olympic 1.61), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Auckland FC II vs Wellington Olympic?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.