Football · Japan Regional League · 19/09, 10:00

Prediction: Nankatsu SC vs Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

Team pages: Nankatsu SC · Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Nankatsu SC2.68

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons0.91

1X2

74% 16% 10%

Nankatsu SC Draw Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Nankatsu SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nankatsu SC 2–1–0 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons (3 last)

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons2-2Nankatsu SC
Nankatsu SC2-1Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Ryutsu Keizai Dragons0-5Nankatsu SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nankatsu SC 1520 · Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 1393

	Nankatsu SC	Draw	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Our model	74%	16%	10%
Market	75%	16%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nankatsu SC (rating 1520 vs 1393).
H2H favours Nankatsu SC: 2-1-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nankatsu SC	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	1.1 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.9	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	2.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.20

X5.75

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
20:54 +37’	1.20	5.75	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nankatsu SC 2–1–0 Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Japan Regional League	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	2-2 HT 2-2	Nankatsu SC
21/09/25 Japan Regional League	Nankatsu SC	2-1 HT 0-0	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
29/06/25 Japan Regional League	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons	0-5 HT 0-2	Nankatsu SC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nankatsu SC	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons
Tokyo 23 FC	0-2 L	1-4 L
Aries Toshima FC	1-2 L	0-2 L
Toho Titanium	2-1 W	1-3 L
Nihon University	3-0 W	1-2 L
Toin Yokohama University	3-1 W	0-2 L
EDO ALL United	4-2 W	1-2 L
Tokyo United FC	0-1 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Nankatsu SC (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nankatsu SC

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	0-2	0-2	9	3	L
06/09	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-1	1-2	14	5	L
23/08	Toho Titanium Japan Regional League	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
26/07	Nihon University Japan Regional League	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
19/07	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	3-0	3-1	7	2	W
12/07	EDO ALL United Japan Regional League	1-2	4-2	–	–	W
05/07	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
28/06	Ryutsu Keizai Dragons Japan Regional League	2-2	2-2	6	1	D
07/06	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	2-0	3-3	4	4	D
30/05	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-1	1-2	9	9	L

Ryutsu Keizai Dragons

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Tokyo 23 FC Japan Regional League	0-2	1-4	3	2	L
30/08	Aries Toshima FC Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	11	1	L
23/08	Shibuya City FC Japan Regional League	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
26/07	Toho Titanium Japan Regional League	1-0	1-3	2	2	L
19/07	Nihon University Japan Regional League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
12/07	Toin Yokohama University Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
05/07	EDO ALL United Japan Regional League	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
28/06	Nankatsu SC Japan Regional League	2-2	2-2	3	1	D
17/06	Nihon University Japan Regional League	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
07/06	Tokyo United FC Japan Regional League	1-2	2-4	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nankatsu SC vs Ryutsu Keizai Dragons?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nankatsu SC win (74%). Probabilities: Nankatsu SC 74%, draw 16%, Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 10%.

How many goals are expected in Nankatsu SC vs Ryutsu Keizai Dragons?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Nankatsu SC 2.68 · Ryutsu Keizai Dragons 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nankatsu SC vs Ryutsu Keizai Dragons?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.