Prediction: Rugby Borough vs Carlton Town
Team pages: Rugby Borough · Carlton Town
- Carlton Town2-1Rugby Borough
| Rugby Borough | Draw | Carlton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rugby Borough (rating 1543 vs 1482).
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rugby Borough | Carlton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rugby Borough 0–0–1 Carlton Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/25 England Northern League Division One | Carlton Town | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Rugby Borough |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rugby Borough | Carlton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Long Eaton Utd | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Racing Club Warwick | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Sutton Coldfield | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Rugby Borough (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rugby Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/09 | Long Eaton Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 26/08 | Wellingborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/08 | Bedworth Utd England Northern League Division One |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/08 | Basford Utd England Northern League Division One |
2-3 | 5-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Loughborough University England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/02 | Long Eaton Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/01 | Racing Club Warwick England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/10 | Carlton Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/10 | Sutton Coldfield England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Carlton Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Long Eaton Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 11/08 | Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 0-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Racing Club Warwick England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Sutton Coldfield England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/03 | Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One |
0-4 | 0-6 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/03 | Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/01 | Long Eaton Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 04/11 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/10 | Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rugby Borough vs Carlton Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rugby Borough win (43%). Probabilities: Rugby Borough 43%, draw 25%, Carlton Town 32%.
How many goals are expected in Rugby Borough vs Carlton Town?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Rugby Borough 1.84 · Carlton Town 1.58), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rugby Borough vs Carlton Town?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.