Football · Poland IV Liga · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Stomil Olsztyn vs Pisa Barczewo

Team pages: Stomil Olsztyn · Pisa Barczewo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Stomil Olsztyn2.89
Pisa Barczewo0.89
1X2
81% 12% 7%
Stomil Olsztyn Draw Pisa Barczewo
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Stomil Olsztyn 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWLWWWWW
Pisa Barczewo 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLDWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stomil Olsztyn 1595 · Pisa Barczewo 1510
Stomil OlsztynDrawPisa Barczewo
Our model78%14%8%
Market85%9%6%
Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stomil Olsztyn (rating 1595 vs 1510).
  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Stomil OlsztynPisa Barczewo
Goals for / against (FT)2.9 / 0.41.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.20.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 7.32.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.14.1 / 0.1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStomil OlsztynPisa Barczewo
DKS Dobre Miasto 4-0 W 3-1 W
Tecza Biskupiec 1-0 W 1-2 L
Polonia Lidzbark 1-1 D 1-4 L
Sokol Ostroda 4-2 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stomil Olsztyn (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stomil Olsztyn

WWDWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Granica Ketrzyn
Poland IV Liga
2-0 5-0 43 W
22/08 DKS Dobre Miasto
Poland IV Liga
2-0 4-0 153 W
16/08 Zatoka Braniewo
Poland IV Liga
4-0 8-0 122 W
08/08 Tecza Biskupiec
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-0 65 W
02/08 Mazur Elk
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 75 W
21/06 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Poland IV Liga
0-1 0-1 48 L
17/06 Warmia Grajewo
Poland IV Liga
2-0 2-0 65 W
30/05 Polonia Lidzbark
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-1 77 D
16/05 Sokol Ostroda
Poland IV Liga
2-1 4-2 73 W
18/04 Mragowia Mragowo
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-0 55 W

Pisa Barczewo

WLWLLLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/09 DKS Dobre Miasto
Poland IV Liga
0-1 3-1 73 W
22/08 GKS Wikielec
Poland IV Liga
2-0 4-0 22 W
15/08 Sokol Ostroda
Poland IV Liga
2-0 2-1 34 W
31/07 Naki Olsztyn
Poland IV Liga
0-2 2-2 35 D
13/06 Sokol Ostroda
Poland IV Liga
0-2 0-4 95 L
30/05 Rominta Goldap
Poland IV Liga
0-1 1-3 44 L
23/05 Tecza Biskupiec
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-2 43 L
10/05 Olimpia Elblag II
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 44 W
06/05 Polonia Lidzbark
Poland IV Liga
1-1 1-4 84 L
18/10 Tecza Biskupiec
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 08 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stomil Olsztyn vs Pisa Barczewo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stomil Olsztyn win (81%). Probabilities: Stomil Olsztyn 81%, draw 12%, Pisa Barczewo 7%.

How many goals are expected in Stomil Olsztyn vs Pisa Barczewo?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Stomil Olsztyn 2.89 · Pisa Barczewo 0.89), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Stomil Olsztyn vs Pisa Barczewo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.