Football · Poland IV Liga · 19/09, 12:00

Prediction: Astra Ustronie Morskie vs Swit Szczecin II

Team pages: Swit Szczecin II

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Astra Ustronie Morskie2.17
Swit Szczecin II1.3
1X2
58% 20% 23%
Astra Ustronie Morskie Draw Swit Szczecin II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Astra Ustronie Morskie 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLDDLDLWWD
Swit Szczecin II 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Astra Ustronie Morskie 1481 · Swit Szczecin II 1459
Astra Ustronie MorskieDrawSwit Szczecin II
Our model56%22%21%
Market58%18%24%
Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Astra Ustronie MorskieSwit Szczecin II
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.71.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.83.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.12.7 / 0.2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAstra Ustronie MorskieSwit Szczecin II
Iskierka Szczecin 1-0 W 0-1 L
Ina Insko 1-1 D 7-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Astra Ustronie Morskie

LLDDLDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/06 Chemik Police
Poland IV Liga
1-2 3-3 65 D
04/06 Mechanik Bobolice
Poland IV Liga
4-0 5-0 54 W
23/05 Iskierka Szczecin
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 54 W
16/05 Baltyk Koszalin
Poland IV Liga
0-1 1-2 57 L
09/05 Ina Insko
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-1 63 D
26/04 Gryf Kamien Pomorski
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-2 114 L
29/03 Ina Goleniow
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-2 144 D
16/11 Chemik Police
Poland IV Liga
0-1 3-3 84 D
31/10 Iskierka Szczecin
Poland IV Liga
1-2 1-3 63 L
19/10 Biali Sadow
Poland IV Liga
0-1 0-1 27 L

Swit Szczecin II

LLLWLLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Pogon Szczecin II
Poland IV Liga
2-0 4-0 51 W
30/08 Gwardia Koszalin
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-3 41 L
22/08 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-1 84 L
16/08 Ina Insko
Poland IV Liga
3-0 7-1 26 W
13/06 Gwardia Koszalin
Poland IV Liga
0-1 1-2 23 L
04/06 Dab Debno
Poland IV Liga
0-3 1-4 50 L
24/05 Darlovia Darlowo
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-1 61 W
26/04 Iskierka Szczecin
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-1 55 L
04/04 Ina Insko
Poland IV Liga
1-1 1-3 133 L
14/03 Blekitni Stargard II
Poland IV Liga
0-2 1-3 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Astra Ustronie Morskie vs Swit Szczecin II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Astra Ustronie Morskie win (58%). Probabilities: Astra Ustronie Morskie 58%, draw 20%, Swit Szczecin II 23%.

How many goals are expected in Astra Ustronie Morskie vs Swit Szczecin II?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Astra Ustronie Morskie 2.17 · Swit Szczecin II 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Astra Ustronie Morskie vs Swit Szczecin II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.