Football · Taiwan Mulan League Women · 31/10, 08:30

Prediction: Hualian (W) vs Taichung Sakura (W)

Team pages: Hualian (W) · Taichung Sakura (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Hualian (W)1.35

Taichung Sakura (W)1.26

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Hualian (W) Draw Taichung Sakura (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hualian (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWWLLL

Taichung Sakura (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLDDL

Head-to-head

Hualian (W) 1–2 Taichung Sakura (W) (3 last)

Hualian (W)1-2Taichung Sakura (W)
Hualian (W)2-0Taichung Sakura (W)
Taichung Sakura (W)3-1Hualian (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hualian (W) 1439 · Taichung Sakura (W) 1493

	Hualian (W)	Draw	Taichung Sakura (W)
Our model	38%	29%	34%
Market	40%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taichung Sakura (W) (rating 1439 vs 1493).
H2H favours Taichung Sakura (W): 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hualian (W)	Taichung Sakura (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2.1	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 1.6	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.5 / 0	0.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.75

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 3.26 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +10’	2.25	3.75	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:12 +72’	3.42	3.65	1.81
00:11 +24’	3.26▼	3.58▼	1.88▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hualian (W) 1–0–2 Taichung Sakura (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Taiwan Mulan League Women	Hualian (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Taichung Sakura (W)
24/01/26 Taiwan Mulan League Women	Hualian (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Taichung Sakura (W)
08/11/25 Taiwan Mulan League Women	Taichung Sakura (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Hualian (W)

Standings · Taiwan Mulan League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaohsiung Attackers (W)	2	2	0	0	11	0	6
2	Hang Yuan FC (W)	2	2	0	0	10	0	6
3	AC Taipei (W)	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
4	Taichung Blue Whale (W)	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
5	Taichung Sakura (W)	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
6	Taipei Bravo (W)	2	0	1	1	0	8	1
7	Hualian (W)	2	0	0	2	0	8	0
8	Valkyrie (W)	2	0	0	2	0	10	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hualian (W)	Taichung Sakura (W)
Taichung Blue Whale (W)	0-5 L	1-3 L
Kaohsiung Attackers (W)	0-3 L	0-5 L
Hang Yuan FC (W)	0-2 L	0-5 L
AC Taipei (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Valkyrie (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
Taipei Bravo (W)	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hualian (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hualian (W)

LLLLDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Taichung Blue Whale (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-3	0-5	0	0	L
09/10	Kaohsiung Attackers (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-2	0-3	1	0	L
23/05	Hang Yuan FC (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
16/05	AC Taipei (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
09/05	Valkyrie (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
02/05	Taipei Bravo (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
25/04	Kaohsiung Attackers (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-1	0-1	0	1	L
28/03	Taichung Blue Whale (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-2	0-4	1	0	L
21/03	Taichung Sakura (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
07/02	Hang Yuan FC (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-2	0-2	1	0	L

Taichung Sakura (W)

WWWLWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	AC Taipei (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-1	0-1	10	0	L
09/10	Taipei Bravo (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
23/05	Taipei Bravo (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
16/05	Hang Yuan FC (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-5	0-5	3	1	L
09/05	Kaohsiung Attackers (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
02/05	AC Taipei (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
25/04	Taichung Blue Whale (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	1-1	1-3	3	0	L
28/03	Valkyrie (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	2-0	4-0	3	0	W
21/03	Hualian (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
07/02	Taipei Bravo (W) Taiwan Mulan League Women	0-0	1-0	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hualian (W) vs Taichung Sakura (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hualian (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Hualian (W) 39%, draw 26%, Taichung Sakura (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Hualian (W) vs Taichung Sakura (W)?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Hualian (W) 1.35 · Taichung Sakura (W) 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hualian (W) vs Taichung Sakura (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.