Football · International Match · 06/10, 13:00

Prediction: South Korea vs Uzbekistan

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
South Korea1.68
Uzbekistan0.9
1X2
55% 25% 20%
South Korea Draw Uzbekistan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
South Korea 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLLWWWLD
Uzbekistan 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDWDLLWW
Head-to-head
South Korea 2–3–0 Uzbekistan (5 last)
  • Uzbekistan0-4South Korea
  • Uzbekistan0-0South Korea
  • South Korea2-1Uzbekistan
  • South Korea1-1Uzbekistan
  • South Korea0-0Uzbekistan
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South Korea 1501 · Uzbekistan 1483
South KoreaDrawUzbekistan
Our model55%26%19%
Market56%24%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours South Korea: 2-3-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

South KoreaUzbekistan
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.91.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.42.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 02 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · South Korea 2–3–0 Uzbekistan

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/11/18
International Match
Uzbekistan0-4
HT 0-2
South Korea
05/09/17
Asia - World Cup Qualifying
Uzbekistan0-0
HT 0-0
South Korea
15/11/16
Asia - World Cup Qualifying
South Korea2-1
HT 0-1
Uzbekistan
27/03/15
African Nations C'ship Qualifying
South Korea1-1
HT 1-1
Uzbekistan
22/01/15
AFC Asian Cup
South Korea0-0
HT 0-0
Uzbekistan

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSouth KoreaUzbekistan
Venezuela 0-0 D 0-0 D
Uruguay 1-4 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Uzbekistan (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South Korea

WWWLLWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/10 Venezuela
International Match
0-0 0-0 34 D
28/09 Uruguay
International Match
0-3 1-4 71 L
24/09 Ecuador
International Match
0-0 3-0 29 W
04/06 El Salvador
International Match
0-0 1-0 85 W
31/05 Trinidad & Tobago
International Match
2-0 5-0 74 W
31/03 Austria
International Match
0-0 0-1 61 L
28/03 Ivory Coast
International Match
0-2 0-4 70 L
18/11 Ghana
International Match
0-0 1-0 52 W
14/11 Bolivia
International Match
0-0 2-0 84 W
14/10 Paraguay
International Match
1-0 2-0 13 W

Uzbekistan

WLWDWDLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/10 Syria
International Match
2-0 4-1 22 W
24/09 Iran
International Match
1-0 3-1 36 W
08/06 Netherlands
International Match
0-1 1-2 34 L
02/06 Canada
International Match
0-0 0-2 34 L
30/03 Venezuela
International Match
0-0 0-0 91 D
27/03 Gabon
International Match
1-1 3-1 141 W
18/11 Iran
International Match
0-0 0-0 12 D
14/11 Egypt
International Match
2-0 2-0 10 W
13/10 Uruguay
International Match
0-0 1-2 20 L
09/10 Kuwait
International Match
2-0 2-0 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in South Korea vs Uzbekistan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a South Korea win (55%). Probabilities: South Korea 55%, draw 25%, Uzbekistan 20%.

How many goals are expected in South Korea vs Uzbekistan?

The model expects 2.59 goals (South Korea 1.68 · Uzbekistan 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in South Korea vs Uzbekistan?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.