Football · Kenya Premier League · 19/09, 14:00
Prediction: Posta Rangers vs Shabana FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Posta Rangers0.77
Shabana FC1.13
1X2
Posta Rangers
Draw
Shabana FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Posta Rangers
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Shabana FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Posta Rangers
3–1–2
Shabana FC
(6 last)
- Posta Rangers0-2Shabana FC
- Shabana FC1-2Posta Rangers
- Posta Rangers2-1Shabana FC
- Shabana FC1-1Posta Rangers
- Shabana FC3-0Posta Rangers
- Posta Rangers3-1Shabana FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Posta Rangers 1472 · Shabana FC 1475
| Posta Rangers | Draw | Shabana FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 34% | 43% |
| Market | 25% | 31% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Posta Rangers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Posta Rangers | Shabana FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Posta Rangers 3–1–2 Shabana FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Shabana FC |
| 15/10/25 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Posta Rangers |
| 09/02/25 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Shabana FC |
| 04/12/24 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Posta Rangers |
| 06/04/24 Kenya Premier League | Shabana FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Posta Rangers |
| 25/11/23 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Shabana FC |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3K FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bandari FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Administration Police FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mara Sugar FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mombasa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Muranga Seal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Posta Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shabana FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Posta Rangers | Shabana FC |
|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| KCB | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Nairobi United | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Sofapaka FC | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Bidco United | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Mara Sugar FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Kakamega Homeboyz | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Posta Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 24/04 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Shabana FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/03 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Posta Rangers vs Shabana FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Shabana FC win (43%). Probabilities: Posta Rangers 24%, draw 32%, Shabana FC 43%.
How many goals are expected in Posta Rangers vs Shabana FC?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Posta Rangers 0.77 · Shabana FC 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Posta Rangers vs Shabana FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.