Football · Bulgaria First League · 20/09, 19:30
Prediction: Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
Team pages: Levski Sofia · Ludogorets Razgrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Levski Sofia1.15
Ludogorets Razgrad0.78
1X2
Levski Sofia
Draw
Ludogorets Razgrad
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Levski Sofia
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Ludogorets Razgrad
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Levski Sofia
0–2–4
Ludogorets Razgrad
(6 last)
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-1Levski Sofia
- Levski Sofia0-1Ludogorets Razgrad
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-0Levski Sofia
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-0Levski Sofia
- Levski Sofia0-1Ludogorets Razgrad
- Levski Sofia0-0Ludogorets Razgrad
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Levski Sofia 1562 · Ludogorets Razgrad 1604
| Levski Sofia | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 33% | 23% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludogorets Razgrad (rating 1562 vs 1604).
- H2H favours Ludogorets Razgrad: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Levski Sofia | Ludogorets Razgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.4 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6 | 2.7 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Levski Sofia 0–2–4 Ludogorets Razgrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Levski Sofia |
| 09/05/26 Bulgaria First League | Levski Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 05/03/26 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Levski Sofia |
| 11/02/26 Bulgaria Cup | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Levski Sofia |
| 03/02/26 Bulgaria Supercup | Levski Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 19/09/25 Bulgaria First League | Levski Sofia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More Varna | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 5 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Levski Sofia | Ludogorets Razgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Slavia Sofia | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Botev Plovdiv | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Spartak Varna | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Dunav Ruse | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 5 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Levski Sofia (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Levski Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Ludogorets Razgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 15/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Levski Sofia win (45%). Probabilities: Levski Sofia 45%, draw 30%, Ludogorets Razgrad 25%.
How many goals are expected in Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Levski Sofia 1.15 · Ludogorets Razgrad 0.78), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Levski Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.