Football · Vietnam V-League 2 · 22/10, 12:00

Prediction: Van Hien University vs Binh Minh Saigon

Team pages: Van Hien University · Binh Minh Saigon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.11Total

Van Hien University1.38

Binh Minh Saigon0.73

1X2

52% 29% 19%

Van Hien University Draw Binh Minh Saigon

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Van Hien University 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWDWL

Binh Minh Saigon 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWLWLW

Head-to-head

Van Hien University 1–1 Binh Minh Saigon (2 last)

Binh Minh Saigon1-0Van Hien University
Van Hien University1-0Binh Minh Saigon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Van Hien University 1464 · Binh Minh Saigon 1520

	Van Hien University	Draw	Binh Minh Saigon
Our model	51%	30%	18%
Market	53%	27%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Binh Minh Saigon (rating 1464 vs 1520).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Van Hien University	Binh Minh Saigon
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.5	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	1.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.30

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 8 moves · last 11:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70
X	3.00 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.49
2	3.25 → 4.50▲	Pinn 5.31 ★

See the full journey (8)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:56 +7’	2.10	3.00	3.25
02:41 +21’	2.05▼	3.00	3.40▲
04:57 +4’	1.83▼	3.10▲	4.00▲
05:56 +5’	1.83	3.20▲	4.10▲
06:58 +2’	1.65▼	3.40▲	4.75▲
07:56 +4’	1.80▲	3.20▼	4.10▼
08:56 +4’	1.75▼	3.25▲	4.33▲
10:59 +3’	1.70▼	3.30▲	4.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +51’	2.18	2.78	3.27
02:20 +42’	1.83▼	3.03▲	4.04▲
06:51 +9’	1.57▼	3.37▲	5.13▲
07:46 +15’	1.67▲	3.21▼	4.62▼
08:40 +21’	1.54▼	3.41▲	5.45▲
10:00 +2’	2.06▲	2.85▼	3.62▼
10:59 +3’	1.57▼	3.49▲	5.31▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Van Hien University 1–0–1 Binh Minh Saigon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Vietnam V-League 2	Binh Minh Saigon	1-0 HT 0-0	Van Hien University
17/10/25 Vietnam V-League 2	Van Hien University	1-0 HT 0-0	Binh Minh Saigon

Standings · Vietnam V-League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Thai Nguyen	3	3	0	0	9	2	9
2	Khanh Hoa	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Hung Yen FC	3	2	1	0	12	2	7
4	Becamex HCMC	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
5	Van Hien University	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
6	PVF-CAND	4	2	1	1	7	8	7
7	Binh Minh Saigon	4	2	0	2	7	7	6
8	Thep Can Tho	3	1	1	1	2	3	4
9	Ho Chi Minh City	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
10	Lam Dong	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
11	Quy Nhon United	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
12	CLB Bong da Hue	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
13	Long An	3	0	1	2	1	3	1
14	Xuan Thien Phu Tho	4	0	1	3	4	14	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Van Hien University	Binh Minh Saigon
Ho Chi Minh City	1-0 W	0-2 L
Khanh Hoa	3-1 W	2-0 W
Quy Nhon United	1-1 D	3-1 W
Xuan Thien Phu Tho	0-2 L	2-0 W
Bac Ninh	1-2 L	0-1 L
PVF-CAND II	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Binh Minh Saigon (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Van Hien University

LLLLDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Lam Dong Vietnam V-League 2	0-2	0-3	8	5	L
25/09	Ho Chi Minh City Vietnam V-League 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
13/09	Becamex HCMC Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
04/06	Khanh Hoa Vietnam V-League 2	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
30/05	Binh Minh Saigon Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
24/05	Quy Nhon United Vietnam V-League 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
16/05	Dong Nai City Vietnam V-League 2	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
09/05	Xuan Thien Phu Tho Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	0-2	3	1	L
01/05	Bac Ninh Vietnam V-League 2	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
24/04	PVF-CAND II Vietnam V-League 2	0-1	1-2	4	8	L

Binh Minh Saigon

LWDWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Quy Nhon United Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	3-1	3	5	W
27/09	Thai Nguyen Vietnam V-League 2	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
11/09	CLB Bong da Hue Vietnam V-League 2	2-0	2-0	6	3	W
06/06	Ho Chi Minh City Vietnam V-League 2	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
30/05	Van Hien University Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/05	Xuan Thien Phu Tho Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	2-0	0	4	W
09/05	Thep Can Tho Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
03/05	PVF-CAND II Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
24/04	Khanh Hoa Vietnam V-League 2	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
18/04	Bac Ninh Vietnam V-League 2	0-0	0-1	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Van Hien University vs Binh Minh Saigon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Van Hien University win (52%). Probabilities: Van Hien University 52%, draw 29%, Binh Minh Saigon 19%.

How many goals are expected in Van Hien University vs Binh Minh Saigon?

The model expects 2.11 goals (Van Hien University 1.38 · Binh Minh Saigon 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Van Hien University vs Binh Minh Saigon?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.