Football · Argentina Nacional B · 19/09, 22:00
Prediction: Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
Team pages: Chacarita Juniors · Quilmes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.55Total
Chacarita Juniors0.76
Quilmes0.78
1X2
Chacarita Juniors
Draw
Quilmes
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 23%
Recent form · 10 last
Chacarita Juniors
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Quilmes
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chacarita Juniors
0–4–2
Quilmes
(6 last)
- Quilmes0-0Chacarita Juniors
- Chacarita Juniors0-4Quilmes
- Quilmes1-0Chacarita Juniors
- Chacarita Juniors2-2Quilmes
- Quilmes1-1Chacarita Juniors
- Chacarita Juniors2-2Quilmes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chacarita Juniors 1439 · Quilmes 1477
| Chacarita Juniors | Draw | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 39% | 31% |
| Market | 33% | 33% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.55 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Quilmes: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chacarita Juniors | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chacarita Juniors 0–4–2 Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 13/07/24 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Quilmes |
| 26/02/24 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 23/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Quilmes |
| 14/05/23 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 23/04/22 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 49 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 49 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 45 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 25 | 41 |
| 7 | San Martin SJ | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 27 | 41 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 30 | 40 |
| 9 | CA Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 28 | 40 |
| 10 | Atletico Rafaela | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 39 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 36 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 24 | 35 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 33 | 35 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 33 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 28 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 29 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 30 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 46 | 23 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chacarita Juniors | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrocarril Midland | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Quilmes (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chacarita Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/08 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 27/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Chacarita Juniors 32%, draw 35%, Quilmes 33%.
How many goals are expected in Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
The model expects 1.55 goals (Chacarita Juniors 0.76 · Quilmes 0.78), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.