Football · Argentina Nacional B · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Agropecuario vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Team pages: Agropecuario · Gimnasia y Tiro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

Agropecuario1.19

Gimnasia y Tiro1

1X2

38% 33% 29%

Agropecuario Draw Gimnasia y Tiro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Agropecuario 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWLDWL

Gimnasia y Tiro 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDLWWD

Head-to-head

Agropecuario 1–0 Gimnasia y Tiro (1 last)

Gimnasia y Tiro2-3Agropecuario

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Agropecuario 1517 · Gimnasia y Tiro 1548

	Agropecuario	Draw	Gimnasia y Tiro
Our model	39%	32%	29%
Market	38%	34%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Agropecuario	Gimnasia y Tiro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X2.75

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +5’	2.45	2.75	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Agropecuario 1–0–0 Gimnasia y Tiro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia y Tiro	2-3 HT 2-1	Agropecuario

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	27	13	10	4	28	14	49
2	Club Atletico Temperley	28	13	10	5	33	23	49
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	28	14	7	7	42	34	49
4	CA Atlanta	29	15	3	11	34	28	48
5	Gimnasia y Tiro	29	12	9	8	31	26	45
6	Ferrocarril Midland	28	11	8	9	31	25	41
7	San Martin SJ	28	11	8	9	31	27	41
8	Deportivo Maipu	29	11	7	11	36	30	40
9	CA Colegiales	29	11	7	11	29	28	40
10	Atletico Rafaela	28	10	9	9	20	22	39
11	San Martin de Tucuman	28	8	12	8	27	26	36
12	Quilmes	29	9	8	12	28	24	35
13	Almagro	29	9	8	12	25	33	35
14	Agropecuario	28	8	9	11	25	31	33
15	Nueva Chicago	29	8	8	13	21	28	32
16	Patronato Parana	28	5	14	9	23	30	29
17	Chacarita Juniors	28	7	6	15	19	30	27
18	CA Guemes	28	5	8	15	22	46	23

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Agropecuario	Gimnasia y Tiro
Tristan Suarez	0-2 L	0-0 D
CA Guemes	3-0 W	3-1 W
Chacarita Juniors	1-2 L	1-0 W
San Martin SJ	2-1 W	1-3 L
Nueva Chicago	1-1 D	2-0 W
Club Atletico Temperley	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia y Tiro (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Agropecuario

DDWLWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-3	1	5	L
06/09	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
01/09	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	10	0	D
22/08	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
15/08	Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	9	10	W
08/08	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
02/08	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
26/07	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
17/07	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/07	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Gimnasia y Tiro

DWWWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
06/09	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-1	3	1	W
29/08	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
22/08	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-2	1-3	3	0	L
16/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
09/08	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
05/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
02/08	Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	3	2	W
26/07	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/07	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Agropecuario vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Agropecuario win (38%). Probabilities: Agropecuario 38%, draw 33%, Gimnasia y Tiro 29%.

How many goals are expected in Agropecuario vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Agropecuario 1.19 · Gimnasia y Tiro 1), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Agropecuario vs Gimnasia y Tiro?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.