Football · Argentina Nacional B · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz

Team pages: Deportivo Moron · Godoy Cruz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Deportivo Moron1.46

Godoy Cruz1.11

1X2

43% 31% 27%

Deportivo Moron Draw Godoy Cruz

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Moron 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDDWWW

Godoy Cruz 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Moron 1–1–0 Godoy Cruz (2 last)

Godoy Cruz2-2Deportivo Moron
Godoy Cruz0-1Deportivo Moron

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Moron 1568 · Godoy Cruz 1548

	Deportivo Moron	Draw	Godoy Cruz
Our model	44%	29%	28%
Market	42%	32%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Moron	Godoy Cruz
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.1	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.4	1.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.6	5.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.88

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 1 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +5’	2.20	2.88	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moron 1–1–0 Godoy Cruz

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Godoy Cruz	2-2 HT 2-1	Deportivo Moron
26/02/26 Argentina Cup	Godoy Cruz	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Moron

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	28	16	6	6	34	25	54
2	Deportivo Moron	28	15	7	6	45	26	52
3	Deportivo Madryn	28	12	10	6	41	26	46
4	Godoy Cruz	28	13	7	8	34	25	46
5	Colon	28	12	9	7	35	23	45
6	Almirante Brown	28	12	9	7	23	16	45
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	29	9	12	8	24	26	39
8	Los Andes	29	8	13	8	22	17	37
9	CA Estudiantes Caseros	28	9	9	10	25	25	36
10	Racing de Cordoba	28	9	8	11	25	32	35
11	CA Chaco For Ever	28	8	8	12	26	29	32
12	Club Atletico Mitre	28	6	13	9	27	35	31
13	Central Norte	29	6	13	10	19	27	31
14	All Boys	29	6	13	10	16	25	31
15	CA San Telmo	29	7	10	12	23	33	31
16	Defensores de Belgrano	28	6	12	10	20	25	30
17	CA San Miguel	29	6	12	11	23	33	30
18	Acassuso	28	5	8	15	19	33	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Moron	Godoy Cruz
Colon	2-1 W	2-0 W
CA San Miguel	2-1 W	2-1 W
Central Norte	0-0 D	2-1 W
CA San Telmo	2-2 D	3-0 W
Acassuso	4-1 W	1-0 W
CA Chaco For Ever	0-2 L	2-1 W
Ferro Carril Oeste	4-0 W	3-1 W
Deportivo Madryn	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Godoy Cruz (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Moron

DWLWWDDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
05/09	Colon Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
30/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	3	7	W
27/08	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
21/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-2	1	7	D
15/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
09/08	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	3-1	4-1	2	9	W
02/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
26/07	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	2-0	4-0	6	7	W
11/07	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-2	5	2	D

Godoy Cruz

WWWWLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Colon Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	3	7	W
06/09	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
30/08	CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
26/08	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
21/08	Acassuso Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
15/08	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
09/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	2-0	2-1	3	6	W
01/08	Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
26/07	Central Norte Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	2	6	W
12/07	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	10	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moron win (43%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moron 43%, draw 31%, Godoy Cruz 27%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Deportivo Moron 1.46 · Godoy Cruz 1.11), with a 60% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs Godoy Cruz?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.