Football · Argentina Nacional B · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Nueva Chicago vs Patronato Parana

Team pages: Nueva Chicago · Patronato Parana

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Nueva Chicago1.02
Patronato Parana0.9
1X2
36% 33% 30%
Nueva Chicago Draw Patronato Parana
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Nueva Chicago 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDLWLLLLWL
Patronato Parana 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DLDDLDWLDD
Head-to-head
Nueva Chicago 0–2–1 Patronato Parana (3 last)
  • Patronato Parana2-1Nueva Chicago
  • Nueva Chicago1-1Patronato Parana
  • Patronato Parana0-0Nueva Chicago
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nueva Chicago 1448 · Patronato Parana 1474
Nueva ChicagoDrawPatronato Parana
Our model36%34%30%
Market37%33%31%
Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nueva ChicagoPatronato Parana
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.11.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.62.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.34.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Chicago 021 Patronato Parana

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/05/26
Argentina Nacional B
Patronato Parana2-1
HT 2-0
Nueva Chicago
11/09/23
Argentina Nacional B
Nueva Chicago1-1
HT 0-1
Patronato Parana
30/04/23
Argentina Nacional B
Patronato Parana0-0
HT 0-0
Nueva Chicago

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tristan Suarez 2713104 281449
2 Club Atletico Temperley 2813105 332349
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 281477 423449
4 CA Atlanta 2915311 342848
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 291298 312645
6 Ferrocarril Midland 281189 312541
7 San Martin SJ 281189 312741
8 Deportivo Maipu 2911711 363040
9 CA Colegiales 2911711 292840
10 Atletico Rafaela 281099 202239
11 San Martin de Tucuman 288128 272636
12 Quilmes 299812 282435
13 Almagro 299812 253335
14 Agropecuario 288911 253133
15 Nueva Chicago 298813 212832
16 Patronato Parana 285149 233029
17 Chacarita Juniors 287615 193027
18 CA Guemes 285815 224623

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNueva ChicagoPatronato Parana
CA Colegiales 0-1 L 2-2 D
Quilmes 1-0 W 3-3 D
Ferrocarril Midland 0-2 L 0-1 L
CA Atlanta 0-1 L 2-0 W
Gimnasia y Tiro 0-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Patronato Parana (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nueva Chicago

LDLWLLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 CA Colegiales
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-1 67 L
07/09 Quilmes
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-0 44 W
29/08 Ferrocarril Midland
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 67 L
22/08 CA Atlanta
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-1 77 L
17/08 All Boys
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-1 57 L
09/08 Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 22 L
01/08 San Martin de Tucuman
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 2-1 39 W
25/07 Atletico Rafaela
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 35 L
17/07 Agropecuario
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-1 D
11/07 Tristan Suarez
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 55 L

Patronato Parana

DLDDLDWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Club Atletico Temperley
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 57 D
06/09 Deportivo Maipu
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 03 D
30/08 Almagro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 57 L
26/08 CA Atlanta
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-0 26 W
22/08 Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 3-3 76 D
15/08 Colon
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-3 52 L
09/08 CA Colegiales
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-2 73 D
01/08 Quilmes
Argentina Nacional B
3-1 3-3 58 D
26/07 Ferrocarril Midland
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 13 L
12/07 Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-1 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nueva Chicago vs Patronato Parana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nueva Chicago win (36%). Probabilities: Nueva Chicago 36%, draw 33%, Patronato Parana 30%.

How many goals are expected in Nueva Chicago vs Patronato Parana?

The model expects 1.92 goals (Nueva Chicago 1.02 · Patronato Parana 0.9), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nueva Chicago vs Patronato Parana?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.