Football · Argentina Nacional B · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy

Team pages: Deportivo Maipu · Gimnasia Jujuy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Deportivo Maipu1.37

Gimnasia Jujuy1.11

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Deportivo Maipu Draw Gimnasia Jujuy

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Maipu 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWWLDD

Gimnasia Jujuy 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWDDWW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Maipu 3–1–2 Gimnasia Jujuy (6 last)

Gimnasia Jujuy1-1Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Maipu2-0Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Jujuy2-0Deportivo Maipu
Gimnasia Jujuy1-0Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Maipu3-2Gimnasia Jujuy
Deportivo Maipu3-0Gimnasia Jujuy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Maipu 1519 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1508

	Deportivo Maipu	Draw	Gimnasia Jujuy
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	41%	31%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Maipu: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Maipu	Gimnasia Jujuy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.6	3.8 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +3’	2.25	3.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maipu 3–1–2 Gimnasia Jujuy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Maipu
15/09/24 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	2-0 HT 1-0	Gimnasia Jujuy
28/04/24 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Maipu
20/08/23 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Maipu
07/04/23 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	3-2 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Jujuy
31/07/22 Argentina Nacional B	Deportivo Maipu	3-0 HT 2-0	Gimnasia Jujuy

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	27	13	10	4	28	14	49
2	Club Atletico Temperley	28	13	10	5	33	23	49
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	28	14	7	7	42	34	49
4	CA Atlanta	29	15	3	11	34	28	48
5	Gimnasia y Tiro	29	12	9	8	31	26	45
6	Ferrocarril Midland	28	11	8	9	31	25	41
7	San Martin SJ	28	11	8	9	31	27	41
8	Deportivo Maipu	29	11	7	11	36	30	40
9	CA Colegiales	29	11	7	11	29	28	40
10	Atletico Rafaela	28	10	9	9	20	22	39
11	San Martin de Tucuman	28	8	12	8	27	26	36
12	Quilmes	29	9	8	12	28	24	35
13	Almagro	29	9	8	12	25	33	35
14	Agropecuario	28	8	9	11	25	31	33
15	Nueva Chicago	29	8	8	13	21	28	32
16	Patronato Parana	28	5	14	9	23	30	29
17	Chacarita Juniors	28	7	6	15	19	30	27
18	CA Guemes	28	5	8	15	22	46	23

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Maipu	Gimnasia Jujuy
Almagro	2-2 D	2-1 W
Patronato Parana	0-0 D	3-3 D
CA Colegiales	0-1 L	1-2 L
Quilmes	1-0 W	0-2 L
Atletico Rafaela	3-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maipu (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Maipu

WDLWLWWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	2-2	2-2	2	2	D
06/09	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
23/08	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
15/08	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
08/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
02/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	2-2	4-2	6	5	W
26/07	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
17/07	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	8	D
11/07	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-1	2	3	W

Gimnasia Jujuy

DWLLLWDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
06/09	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
01/09	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	10	0	D
22/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	1-1	3-3	2	6	D
16/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
10/08	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-2	11	1	L
06/08	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
01/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
26/07	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	9	2	W
12/07	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	11	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Maipu win (41%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maipu 41%, draw 30%, Gimnasia Jujuy 29%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Deportivo Maipu 1.37 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1.11), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Maipu vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.