Football · Italy Serie B Women · 12/09, 18:00
Prediction: Verona (W) vs Cesena (W)
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Verona (W)1.06
Cesena (W)2.44
1X2
Verona (W)
Draw
Cesena (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Verona (W)
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Cesena (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Verona (W)
1–4
Cesena (W)
(5 last)
- Verona (W)0-5Cesena (W)
- Cesena (W)2-1Verona (W)
- Verona (W)1-3Cesena (W)
- Verona (W)2-0Cesena (W)
- Cesena (W)2-1Verona (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Verona (W) 1400 · Cesena (W) 1579
| Verona (W) | Draw | Cesena (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| Market | 14% | 20% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cesena (W) (rating 1400 vs 1579).
- H2H favours Cesena (W): 4-0-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Verona (W) | Cesena (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.3 | 2.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 50/33/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Verona (W) 1–0–4 Cesena (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Italy Serie B Women | Verona (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Cesena (W) |
| 12/10/25 Italy Serie B Women | Cesena (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Verona (W) |
| 13/04/25 Italy Serie B Women | Verona (W) | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Cesena (W) |
| 23/04/23 Italy Serie B Women | Verona (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cesena (W) |
| 04/12/22 Italy Serie B Women | Cesena (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Verona (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie B Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bologna (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Lumezzane (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | ASD Moncalieri Calcio 1953 (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Arezzo (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Frosinone (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | ASD Res Roma (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Brescia (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Vicenza (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Cesena (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Venezia (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Verona (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Calcio Catania (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | San Marino Academy (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Genoa (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Verona (W) | Cesena (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane (W) | 1-2 L | 2-5 L |
| Vicenza (W) | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Bologna (W) | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Frosinone (W) | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Como 1907 (W) | 3-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cesena (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Verona (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Lumezzane (W) Italy Serie B Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Lumezzane (W) Italy Serie B Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Vicenza (W) Italy Serie B Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Bologna (W) Italy Serie B Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | ASD Res Roma (W) Italy Serie B Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Frosinone (W) Italy Serie B Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie B Women |
– | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | Freedom FC Women Italy Serie B Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 15/03 | Arezzo (W) Italy Serie B Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/02 | Cesena (W) Italy Serie B Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
Cesena (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Frosinone (W) Italy Serie B Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Bologna (W) Italy Serie B Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Lumezzane (W) Italy Serie B Women |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Vicenza (W) Italy Serie B Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Como 1907 (W) Italy Serie B Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | San Marino Academy (W) Italy Serie B Women |
3-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Brescia (W) Italy Serie B Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | Venezia (W) Italy Serie B Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/02 | Verona (W) Italy Serie B Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/02 | ASD Trastevere (W) Italy Serie B Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Verona (W) vs Cesena (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cesena (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Verona (W) 14%, draw 19%, Cesena (W) 67%.
How many goals are expected in Verona (W) vs Cesena (W)?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Verona (W) 1.06 · Cesena (W) 2.44), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Verona (W) vs Cesena (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.