Football · India Bangalore Super Division · 12/09, 07:30

Prediction: MEG vs HAL SC Bangalore

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

MEG2.11

HAL SC Bangalore1.11

1X2

60% 22% 19%

MEG Draw HAL SC Bangalore

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

MEG 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWDDLL

HAL SC Bangalore 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLLD

Head-to-head

MEG 2–1 HAL SC Bangalore (3 last)

HAL SC Bangalore2-4MEG
MEG2-0HAL SC Bangalore
HAL SC Bangalore4-0MEG

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MEG 1480 · HAL SC Bangalore 1442

	MEG	Draw	HAL SC Bangalore
Our model	59%	22%	18%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours MEG: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MEG	HAL SC Bangalore
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.2	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	1.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:24 +5’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MEG 2–0–1 HAL SC Bangalore

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/10/25 India Bangalore Super Division	HAL SC Bangalore	2-4 HT 1-2	MEG
20/01/25 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	2-0 HT 1-0	HAL SC Bangalore
16/11/23 India Bangalore Super Division	HAL SC Bangalore	4-0 HT 1-0	MEG

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MEG	HAL SC Bangalore
Bangalore City FC	2-2 D	0-0 D
Rebels FC	1-0 W	1-2 L
Kodagu FC	1-0 W	1-4 L
United Stars	1-2 L	1-2 L
Kickstart FC	2-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: MEG (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MEG

LLDWWWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Parikrma FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-1	2-3	13	6	L
03/11	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	0-3	0-6	1	3	L
28/10	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
23/10	ASC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
17/10	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
13/10	HAL SC Bangalore India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	4-2	3	2	W
08/10	Kodagu FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
25/09	BUFC India Bangalore Super Division	1-2	2-2	8	6	D
22/09	United Stars India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-2	10	5	L
19/09	Kickstart FC India Bangalore Super Division	2-2	2-4	4	4	L

HAL SC Bangalore

LLLLWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-0	9	0	D
30/10	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/10	Kodagu FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-3	1-4	4	0	L
16/10	Students Union India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
13/10	MEG India Bangalore Super Division	1-2	2-4	1	2	L
09/10	Bangalore Dream United FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	3-0	2	2	W
06/10	United Stars India Bangalore Super Division	1-1	1-2	3	0	L
29/09	Kickstart FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
27/09	FC Real Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
24/09	FC Bengaluru United India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	0-2	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MEG vs HAL SC Bangalore?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MEG win (60%). Probabilities: MEG 60%, draw 22%, HAL SC Bangalore 19%.

How many goals are expected in MEG vs HAL SC Bangalore?

The model expects 3.22 goals (MEG 2.11 · HAL SC Bangalore 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MEG vs HAL SC Bangalore?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.