Football · Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional · 11/09, 03:00

Prediction: FC Panama Norte vs Alianza West

Team pages: FC Panama Norte · Alianza West

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

FC Panama Norte1.93

Alianza West1.72

1X2

42% 25% 33%

FC Panama Norte Draw Alianza West

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Panama Norte 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLWWLDWL

Alianza West 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWDLWDL

Head-to-head

FC Panama Norte 0–1–0 Alianza West (1 last)

FC Panama Norte1-1Alianza West

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Panama Norte 1510 · Alianza West 1477

	FC Panama Norte	Draw	Alianza West
Our model	42%	23%	34%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Panama Norte	Alianza West
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.9	1.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:47 +6’	2.20	3.40	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Panama Norte 0–1–0 Alianza West

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/25 Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	FC Panama Norte	1-1 HT 0-1	Alianza West

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Panama Norte	Alianza West
Atletico Rio Abajo	1-5 L	2-1 W
Cetes FC	5-2 W	2-1 W
Olympic Colon FC	0-0 D	2-4 L
AF Chilibre	0-2 L	2-2 D
Inter Panama CF	1-0 W	2-3 L
Bambu FC	2-2 D	1-1 D
Club Deportivo Rex FC	2-2 D	0-7 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Panama Norte (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Panama Norte

DWDLWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Atletico Rio Abajo Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	1-1	1-5	3	4	L
16/08	Cetes FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	3-2	5-2	6	3	W
09/08	Olympic Colon FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
31/05	AF Chilibre Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
28/05	AF Chilibre Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-2	3-2	6	7	W
24/05	Inter Panama CF Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
17/05	Atletico Rio Abajo Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	2-1	2-3	1	11	L
08/05	Bambu FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
04/05	Cetes FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	2-0	2-1	7	8	W
26/04	Club Deportivo Rex FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	1-2	2-2	5	8	D

Alianza West

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Club Deportivo Rex FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-5	0-7	6	6	L
24/08	AF Chilibre Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	1-0	2-2	3	8	D
16/08	FC Cosmos Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	3-0	3-2	9	4	W
08/05	AF Chilibre Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-2	1-4	6	5	L
25/04	Bambu FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
19/04	Cetes FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
12/04	Inter Panama CF Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-2	2-3	8	9	L
05/04	Olympic Colon FC Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	0-2	2-4	2	6	L
29/03	Atletico Rio Abajo Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
19/03	Deportivo Union Aguadulce Panama Liga de Futbol Nacional	2-0	2-0	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Panama Norte vs Alianza West?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Panama Norte win (42%). Probabilities: FC Panama Norte 42%, draw 25%, Alianza West 33%.

How many goals are expected in FC Panama Norte vs Alianza West?

The model expects 3.65 goals (FC Panama Norte 1.93 · Alianza West 1.72), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Panama Norte vs Alianza West?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.