Prediction: USC (W) vs Michigan State (W)
- Michigan State (W)4-0USC (W)
| USC (W) | Draw | Michigan State (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 26% | 51% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michigan State (W) (rating 1478 vs 1569).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| USC (W) | Michigan State (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | – / – | – / – |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | //% | //% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · USC (W) 0–0–1 Michigan State (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 USA College Championship Women | Michigan State (W) | 4-0 | USC (W) |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | USC (W) | Michigan State (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Northwestern Women | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| UCLA Women | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Nebraska Women | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Michigan State (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
USC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Northwestern Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/10 | UCLA Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/10 | Iowa (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Nebraska Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/10 | Wisconsin (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Minnesota (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Oregon (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/09 | Rutgers Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Maryland (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/09 | Michigan State (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Michigan State (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11 | Stanford (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/11 | Colorado (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/11 | Wake Forest (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/11 | Milwaukee Panthers (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/11 | Washington (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/11 | UCLA Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/11 | Northwestern Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/10 | Nebraska Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/10 | Illinois (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Indiana (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in USC (W) vs Michigan State (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Michigan State (W) win (52%). Probabilities: USC (W) 24%, draw 25%, Michigan State (W) 52%.
How many goals are expected in USC (W) vs Michigan State (W)?
The model expects 2.89 goals (USC (W) 1.13 · Michigan State (W) 1.76), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in USC (W) vs Michigan State (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.