Football · Kenya Premier League · 11/09, 14:00
Prediction: Posta Rangers vs KCB
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Posta Rangers1.02
KCB1.05
1X2
Posta Rangers
Draw
KCB
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Posta Rangers
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
KCB
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Posta Rangers
2–2–2
KCB
(6 last)
- KCB0-1Posta Rangers
- Posta Rangers0-1KCB
- KCB1-2Posta Rangers
- Posta Rangers0-3KCB
- KCB0-0Posta Rangers
- Posta Rangers0-0KCB
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Posta Rangers 1466 · KCB 1506
| Posta Rangers | Draw | KCB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 35% |
| Market | 33% | 31% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KCB (rating 1466 vs 1506).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Posta Rangers | KCB | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Posta Rangers 2–2–2 KCB
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Kenya Premier League | KCB | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Posta Rangers |
| 20/01/26 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 0-1 HT 0-1 | KCB |
| 01/03/25 Kenya Premier League | KCB | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Posta Rangers |
| 21/09/24 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 0-3 HT 0-2 | KCB |
| 15/06/24 Kenya Premier League | KCB | 0-0 | Posta Rangers |
| 05/11/23 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KCB |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3K FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AFC Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bandari FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Administration Police FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mara Sugar FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Migori Youth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mombasa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Muranga Seal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Posta Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shabana FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Posta Rangers | KCB |
|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Sofapaka FC | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Bandari FC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Bidco United | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| APS Bomet | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Mara Sugar FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Kakamega Homeboyz | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: KCB (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Posta Rangers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 24/04 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
KCB
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Posta Rangers vs KCB?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KCB win (35%). Probabilities: Posta Rangers 33%, draw 32%, KCB 35%.
How many goals are expected in Posta Rangers vs KCB?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Posta Rangers 1.02 · KCB 1.05), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Posta Rangers vs KCB?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.