Football · Philippines PFL · 25/10, 08:00

Prediction: Philippine Army vs Stallion Laguna FC

Team pages: Stallion Laguna FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.86Total

Philippine Army1.43

Stallion Laguna FC3.43

1X2

7% 9% 85%

Philippine Army Draw Stallion Laguna FC

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Philippine Army 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Stallion Laguna FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDDWLLWD

Head-to-head

Philippine Army 0–4 Stallion Laguna FC (4 last)

Philippine Army1-5Stallion Laguna FC
Stallion Laguna FC7-0Philippine Army
Stallion Laguna FC6-0Philippine Army
Stallion Laguna FC6-1Philippine Army

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Philippine Army 1346 · Stallion Laguna FC 1522

	Philippine Army	Draw	Stallion Laguna FC
Our model	12%	14%	75%
Market	2%	5%	93%

Estimated total (ours) 4.86 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stallion Laguna FC (rating 1346 vs 1522).
H2H favours Stallion Laguna FC: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Philippine Army	Stallion Laguna FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 5.7	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 3.2	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/10/90%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 1.9	1.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

141.00

X21.00

21.02

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.90

2 (-4.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 5.251.90

Under 5.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 5.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	41.00 → 41.00	Bet365 41.00
X	21.00 → 21.00	Bet365 21.00
2	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:30 +46’	41.00	21.00	1.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Philippine Army 0–0–4 Stallion Laguna FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Philippines PFL	Philippine Army	1-5 HT 0-2	Stallion Laguna FC
25/10/25 Philippines PFL	Stallion Laguna FC	7-0 HT 2-0	Philippine Army
28/04/24 Philippines PFL	Stallion Laguna FC	6-0 HT 3-0	Philippine Army
13/08/23 Philippines PFL Cup	Stallion Laguna FC	6-1 HT 3-0	Philippine Army

Standings · Philippines PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maharlika Taguig FC	7	4	2	1	15	7	14
2	Manila Digger FC	4	4	0	0	8	0	12
3	Kaya FC	5	3	1	1	12	3	10
4	Aguilas–UMak	3	2	1	0	8	3	7
5	Stallion Laguna FC	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
6	Azkals Development Team	5	1	1	3	4	10	4
7	Dynamic Herb Cebu FC	3	1	0	2	6	3	3
8	Tuloy FC	6	1	0	5	11	23	3
9	Mendiola FC	3	0	2	1	2	6	2
10	Philippine Army	3	0	0	3	3	14	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Philippine Army	Stallion Laguna FC
Maharlika Taguig FC	0-5 L	0-2 L
Kaya FC	0-5 L	1-1 D
Tuloy FC	3-4 L	5-4 W
Manila Digger FC	0-10 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stallion Laguna FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Philippine Army

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Maharlika Taguig FC Philippines PFL	0-4	0-5	0	3	L
27/09	Kaya FC Philippines PFL	0-3	0-5	2	2	L
20/09	Tuloy FC Philippines PFL	1-3	3-4	4	4	L
20/05	Don Bosco Garelli United Philippines PFL	0-4	1-8	5	1	L
10/05	Mendiola FC Philippines PFL	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
06/05	Maharlika Taguig FC Philippines PFL	1-2	2-5	0	2	L
02/05	Tuloy FC Philippines PFL	0-3	1-5	1	4	L
25/04	Don Bosco Garelli United Philippines PFL	0-7	1-9	2	2	L
08/04	Kaya FC Philippines PFL	0-3	0-4	1	5	L
29/03	Manila Digger FC Philippines PFL	0-3	0-10	–	–	L

Stallion Laguna FC

DLDDDWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kaya FC Philippines PFL	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
11/10	Tuloy FC Philippines PFL	2-1	5-4	4	3	W
27/09	Maharlika Taguig FC Philippines PFL	0-1	0-2	10	2	L
20/09	Manila Digger FC Philippines PFL	0-3	0-3	6	3	L
12/09	Azkals Development Team Philippines PFL	1-0	4-0	8	4	W
30/05	Aguilas–UMak Philippines PFL	2-2	2-2	3	4	D
27/05	Dynamic Herb Cebu FC Philippines PFL	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
23/05	Manila Digger FC Philippines PFL	1-1	1-1	3	3	D
16/05	One Taguig FC Philippines PFL	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
09/05	Kaya FC Philippines PFL	1-2	2-2	2	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Philippine Army vs Stallion Laguna FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stallion Laguna FC win (85%). Probabilities: Philippine Army 7%, draw 9%, Stallion Laguna FC 85%.

How many goals are expected in Philippine Army vs Stallion Laguna FC?

The model expects 4.86 goals (Philippine Army 1.43 · Stallion Laguna FC 3.43), with a 55% chance of under 5.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Philippine Army vs Stallion Laguna FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.