Football · Philippines PFL · 25/10, 13:30

Prediction: Tuloy FC vs Mendiola FC

Team pages: Tuloy FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

Tuloy FC2.06

Mendiola FC1.94

1X2

41% 21% 37%

Tuloy FC Draw Mendiola FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Tuloy FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWLLL

Mendiola FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWLDLD

Head-to-head

Tuloy FC 2–2–1 Mendiola FC (5 last)

Mendiola FC1-4Tuloy FC
Tuloy FC1-1Mendiola FC
Mendiola FC0-3Tuloy FC
Mendiola FC4-2Tuloy FC
Mendiola FC4-4Tuloy FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tuloy FC 1458 · Mendiola FC 1413

	Tuloy FC	Draw	Mendiola FC
Our model	41%	22%	37%
Market	42%	21%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tuloy FC (rating 1458 vs 1413).
H2H favours Tuloy FC: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tuloy FC	Mendiola FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 3	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/0/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.1	1 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.33

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:39 +23’	2.15	4.33	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tuloy FC 2–2–1 Mendiola FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Philippines PFL	Mendiola FC	1-4 HT 0-1	Tuloy FC
18/03/26 Philippines PFL	Tuloy FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Mendiola FC
17/01/26 Philippines PFL	Mendiola FC	0-3 HT 0-2	Tuloy FC
29/06/24 Philippines PFL	Mendiola FC	4-2 HT 1-2	Tuloy FC
02/09/23 Philippines PFL Cup	Mendiola FC	4-4 HT 2-2	Tuloy FC

Standings · Philippines PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maharlika Taguig FC	7	4	2	1	15	7	14
2	Manila Digger FC	4	4	0	0	8	0	12
3	Kaya FC	5	3	1	1	12	3	10
4	Aguilas–UMak	3	2	1	0	8	3	7
5	Stallion Laguna FC	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
6	Azkals Development Team	5	1	1	3	4	10	4
7	Dynamic Herb Cebu FC	3	1	0	2	6	3	3
8	Tuloy FC	6	1	0	5	11	23	3
9	Mendiola FC	3	0	2	1	2	6	2
10	Philippine Army	3	0	0	3	3	14	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tuloy FC	Mendiola FC
Stallion Laguna FC	4-5 L	1-3 L
Philippine Army	4-3 W	2-1 W
Kaya FC	0-3 L	0-3 L
Maharlika Taguig FC	2-4 L	1-1 D
Don Bosco Garelli United	2-4 L	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mendiola FC (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tuloy FC

WLDWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Dynamic Herb Cebu FC Philippines PFL	0-3	0-6	4	2	L
11/10	Stallion Laguna FC Philippines PFL	1-2	4-5	2	3	L
04/10	Aguilas–UMak Philippines PFL	0-2	1-2	4	9	L
20/09	Philippine Army Philippines PFL	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
12/09	Kaya FC Philippines PFL	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
06/09	Maharlika Taguig FC Philippines PFL	0-1	2-4	5	2	L
24/05	Mendiola FC Philippines PFL	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
20/05	Maharlika Taguig FC Philippines PFL	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
10/05	Don Bosco Garelli United Philippines PFL	1-2	2-4	1	3	L
02/05	Philippine Army Philippines PFL	3-0	5-1	4	4	W

Mendiola FC

LLLLDWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Azkals Development Team Philippines PFL	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
06/09	Davao Aguilas FC Philippines PFL	0-2	0-4	4	2	L
31/08	Maharlika Taguig FC Philippines PFL	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
24/05	Tuloy FC Philippines PFL	0-1	1-4	6	1	L
10/05	Philippine Army Philippines PFL	0-0	2-1	1	7	W
06/05	Don Bosco Garelli United Philippines PFL	2-0	3-3	4	3	D
02/05	Maharlika Taguig FC Philippines PFL	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
19/04	Kaya FC Philippines PFL	0-0	0-3	1	1	L
08/04	Stallion Laguna FC Philippines PFL	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
21/03	One Taguig FC Philippines PFL	0-0	0-1	0	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tuloy FC vs Mendiola FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tuloy FC win (41%). Probabilities: Tuloy FC 41%, draw 21%, Mendiola FC 37%.

How many goals are expected in Tuloy FC vs Mendiola FC?

The model expects 4 goals (Tuloy FC 2.06 · Mendiola FC 1.94), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Tuloy FC vs Mendiola FC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.