Football · USA College Championship Women · 11/09, 04:00
Prediction: Washington (W) vs Maryland (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Washington (W)1.89
Maryland (W)0.67
1X2
Washington (W)
Draw
Maryland (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Washington (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Maryland (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Washington (W) 1548 · Maryland (W) 1426
| Washington (W) | Draw | Maryland (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 23% | 11% |
| Market | 66% | 22% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Washington (W) (rating 1548 vs 1426).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Washington (W) | Maryland (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | – / – | – / – |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | //% | //% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | – / – |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Washington (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11 | Duke Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/11 | Virginia Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/11 | Arkansas (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/11 | Montana (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/11 | Michigan State (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/11 | Wisconsin (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/11 | Illinois (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/10 | Oregon (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/10 | Wisconsin (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Minnesota (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Maryland (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Rutgers Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/10 | Ohio State (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Michigan Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/10 | Nebraska Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Iowa (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/10 | Illinois (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/09 | UCLA Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | USC (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/09 | Purdue Women USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Indiana (W) USA College Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Washington (W) vs Maryland (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Washington (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Washington (W) 66%, draw 22%, Maryland (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Washington (W) vs Maryland (W)?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Washington (W) 1.89 · Maryland (W) 0.67), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Washington (W) vs Maryland (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.