Prediction: Ohio State (W) vs Penn State (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Ohio State (W)1.58
Penn State (W)1.24
1X2
45% 26% 30%
Ohio State (W) Draw Penn State (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Ohio State (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLWDDL
Penn State (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDWLWLWL
Head-to-head
Ohio State (W) 0–1 Penn State (W) (1 last)
  • Penn State (W)2-0Ohio State (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ohio State (W) 1504 · Penn State (W) 1513
Ohio State (W)DrawPenn State (W)
Our model44%27%29%
Market45%25%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ohio State (W)Penn State (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.21.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT) / – / –
Half-time result (W/D/L)//%//%
Corners (HT / FT)– / –– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)– / –– / –

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ohio State (W) 001 Penn State (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/10/25
USA College Championship Women
Penn State (W)2-0Ohio State (W)

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOhio State (W)Penn State (W)
Rutgers Women 4-2 W 2-1 W
Washington (W) 0-1 L 0-1 L
Oregon (W) 1-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ohio State (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ohio State (W)

WLWWLLWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/11 Florida State (W)
USA College Championship Women
1-4 L
23/11 Baylor Women
USA College Championship Women
1-1 D
21/11 Notre Dame (W)
USA College Championship Women
0-0 D
14/11 Georgia (W)
USA College Championship Women
2-0 W
30/10 Illinois (W)
USA College Championship Women
0-1 L
26/10 Penn State (W)
USA College Championship Women
0-2 L
19/10 Maryland (W)
USA College Championship Women
3-1 W
17/10 Rutgers Women
USA College Championship Women
4-2 W
12/10 Washington (W)
USA College Championship Women
0-1 L
10/10 Oregon (W)
USA College Championship Women
1-0 W

Penn State (W)

WWLDWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/11 Virginia Women
USA College Championship Women
0-2 L
15/11 Army Black Knights (W)
USA College Championship Women
3-0 W
02/11 UCLA Women
USA College Championship Women
1-2 L
26/10 Ohio State (W)
USA College Championship Women
2-0 W
19/10 Indiana (W)
USA College Championship Women
1-2 L
17/10 Purdue Women
USA College Championship Women
1-0 W
12/10 Oregon (W)
USA College Championship Women
2-2 D
10/10 Washington (W)
USA College Championship Women
0-1 L
04/10 Rutgers Women
USA College Championship Women
2-1 W
28/09 Northwestern Women
USA College Championship Women
2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ohio State (W) vs Penn State (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ohio State (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Ohio State (W) 45%, draw 26%, Penn State (W) 30%.

How many goals are expected in Ohio State (W) vs Penn State (W)?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Ohio State (W) 1.58 · Penn State (W) 1.24), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ohio State (W) vs Penn State (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.