Football · Iceland Premier League · 14/09, 21:15
Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
Team pages: Vikingur Reykjavik · Keflavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Vikingur Reykjavik2.29
Keflavik1.61
1X2
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw
Keflavik
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Vikingur Reykjavik
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Keflavik
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vikingur Reykjavik
5–1–0
Keflavik
(6 last)
- Vikingur Reykjavik5-1Keflavik
- Keflavik1-3Vikingur Reykjavik
- Keflavik3-3Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik4-1Keflavik
- Keflavik0-3Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik4-1Keflavik
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Reykjavik (rating 1531 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Vikingur Reykjavik: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 7.8 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Reykjavik 5–1–0 Keflavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Keflavik |
| 03/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 08/07/23 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 04/05/23 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Keflavik |
| 11/09/22 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 28/04/22 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 4-1 HT 4-0 | Keflavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 67 | 21 | 53 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 56 | 42 | 45 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 74 | 49 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 41 | 30 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 41 | 30 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 28 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vikingur Reykjavik | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Valur Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| IA Akranes | 2-2 D | 5-2 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| KA Akureyri | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Breidablik | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Keflavik (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vikingur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 02/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 8 | W |
| 25/06 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Keflavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 24/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Reykjavik win (52%). Probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik 52%, draw 21%, Keflavik 26%.
How many goals are expected in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?
The model expects 3.89 goals (Vikingur Reykjavik 2.29 · Keflavik 1.61), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.