Football · China Division 2 · 31/10, 07:30

Prediction: Ganzhou Ruishi vs Tai'an Tiankuang

Team pages: Ganzhou Ruishi · Tai'an Tiankuang

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.15Total

Ganzhou Ruishi0.89

Tai'an Tiankuang1.26

1X2

25% 31% 44%

Ganzhou Ruishi Draw Tai'an Tiankuang

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ganzhou Ruishi 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWLDDL

Tai'an Tiankuang 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDDDWDLW

Head-to-head

Ganzhou Ruishi 2–1–3 Tai'an Tiankuang (6 last)

Tai'an Tiankuang3-0Ganzhou Ruishi
Ganzhou Ruishi1-2Tai'an Tiankuang
Tai'an Tiankuang0-0Ganzhou Ruishi
Ganzhou Ruishi3-1Tai'an Tiankuang
Tai'an Tiankuang1-3Ganzhou Ruishi
Tai'an Tiankuang6-0Ganzhou Ruishi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ganzhou Ruishi 1435 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1492

	Ganzhou Ruishi	Draw	Tai'an Tiankuang
Our model	25%	31%	44%
Market	25%	31%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tai'an Tiankuang (rating 1435 vs 1492).
H2H favours Tai'an Tiankuang: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ganzhou Ruishi	Tai'an Tiankuang
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.2	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	3.5 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.60

X2.90

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 4.25 ★
X	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.00
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
06:38 +29’	3.60	2.90	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:41 +27’	4.25	3.00	1.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ganzhou Ruishi 2–1–3 Tai'an Tiankuang

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/10/26 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	3-0 HT 1-0	Ganzhou Ruishi
25/10/25 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	1-2 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang
21/09/25 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	0-0 HT 0-0	Ganzhou Ruishi
05/10/24 China Division 2	Ganzhou Ruishi	3-1 HT 2-0	Tai'an Tiankuang
31/08/24 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	1-3 HT 0-1	Ganzhou Ruishi
21/10/23 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	6-0	Ganzhou Ruishi

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nantong Haimen Codion	28	9	13	6	37	26	40
2	Tai'an Tiankuang	28	10	10	8	32	27	40
3	Xiamen Feilu	28	9	10	9	37	33	37
4	Qingdao Red Lions	28	7	11	10	26	28	32
5	Ganzhou Ruishi	28	7	10	11	23	40	31
6	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	28	6	9	13	25	32	27
7	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	28	5	10	13	23	35	25
8	Beijing Institute	28	5	10	13	28	49	25

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ganzhou Ruishi	Tai'an Tiankuang
Nantong Haimen Codion	1-1 D	1-2 L
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	0-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ganzhou Ruishi

DLLLLWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
17/10	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
11/10	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
07/10	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
19/09	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	3	W
12/09	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
23/08	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-2	0-4	2	5	L
16/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	0	L
08/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-2	0-6	4	2	L
01/08	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D

Tai'an Tiankuang

LDLDDDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	3-1	11	2	W
17/10	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
12/10	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
07/10	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
19/09	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/09	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
22/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
15/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
08/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
02/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	1-2	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tai'an Tiankuang win (44%). Probabilities: Ganzhou Ruishi 25%, draw 31%, Tai'an Tiankuang 44%.

How many goals are expected in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Ganzhou Ruishi 0.89 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ganzhou Ruishi vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.