Football · Ghana Premier League · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: Ashanti Gold vs Karela United FC

Team pages: Ashanti Gold · Karela United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

Ashanti Gold1.39

Karela United FC0.82

1X2

50% 29% 21%

Ashanti Gold Draw Karela United FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ashanti Gold 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWLWLDWD

Karela United FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLLDD

Head-to-head

Ashanti Gold 2–3–1 Karela United FC (6 last)

Karela United FC2-1Ashanti Gold
Ashanti Gold1-1Karela United FC
Karela United FC1-1Ashanti Gold
Ashanti Gold2-2Karela United FC
Karela United FC1-2Ashanti Gold
Ashanti Gold1-0Karela United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ashanti Gold 1515 · Karela United FC 1472

	Ashanti Gold	Draw	Karela United FC
Our model	49%	30%	21%
Market	50%	29%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashanti Gold (rating 1515 vs 1472).
H2H favours Ashanti Gold: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ashanti Gold	Karela United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	0.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.5 / 0.8	1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.4	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.10

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:12 +6’	1.80	3.10	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashanti Gold 2–3–1 Karela United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/22 Ghana Premier League	Karela United FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Ashanti Gold
06/11/21 Ghana Premier League	Ashanti Gold	1-1 HT 1-1	Karela United FC
04/04/21 Ghana Premier League	Karela United FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Ashanti Gold
15/11/20 Ghana Premier League	Ashanti Gold	2-2 HT 2-1	Karela United FC
15/03/20 Ghana Premier League	Karela United FC	1-2 HT 0-0	Ashanti Gold
28/03/18 Ghana Premier League	Ashanti Gold	1-0 HT 0-0	Karela United FC

Standings · Ghana Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Medeama SC	10	6	3	1	16	8	21
2	Hearts of Oak	10	6	2	2	12	3	20
3	Port City FC Ghana	10	5	3	2	12	7	18
4	Samartex	10	5	3	2	11	7	18
5	Aduana Stars	10	5	2	3	9	5	17
6	Bechem FC	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
7	Ashanti Gold	10	4	3	3	12	10	15
8	Swedru All Blacks Utd	10	4	2	4	9	8	14
9	Berekum Chelsea	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
10	Asante Kotoko	10	3	4	3	11	12	13
11	Basake Holy Stars FC	10	4	0	6	5	10	12
12	Bibiani Gold Stars	10	3	2	5	8	10	11
13	Debibi United	10	3	2	5	9	13	11
14	Vision FC	10	2	5	3	11	11	11
15	Karela United FC	10	3	2	5	8	11	11
16	Heart of Lions	10	3	2	5	10	16	11
17	Young Apostles	10	2	2	6	5	13	8
18	Dreams	10	1	4	5	9	15	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ashanti Gold	Karela United FC
Young Apostles	0-0 D	0-0 D
Swedru All Blacks Utd	2-1 W	0-2 L
Asante Kotoko	1-1 D	0-1 L
Aduana Stars	0-1 L	1-2 L
Samartex	1-0 W	1-3 L
Vision FC	3-1 W	0-0 D
Port City FC Ghana	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Ashanti Gold (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ashanti Gold

DWLWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Young Apostles Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/11	Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
25/10	Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
11/10	Samartex Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/10	Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League	1-3	2-3	1	4	L
27/09	Debibi United Ghana Premier League	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
20/09	Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	0	0	L
12/09	Vision FC Ghana Premier League	3-1	3-1	1	4	W
06/09	Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Karela United FC

LWLWLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Vision FC Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
01/11	Young Apostles Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
25/10	Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
18/10	Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/10	Dreams Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	0	W
01/10	Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
26/09	Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
13/09	Bechem FC Ghana Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
06/09	Samartex Ghana Premier League	0-1	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ashanti Gold vs Karela United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ashanti Gold win (50%). Probabilities: Ashanti Gold 50%, draw 29%, Karela United FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Ashanti Gold vs Karela United FC?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Ashanti Gold 1.39 · Karela United FC 0.82), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ashanti Gold vs Karela United FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.