Football · Ghana Premier League · 15/11, 17:00
Prediction: Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars
Team pages: Asante Kotoko · Bibiani Gold Stars
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Asante Kotoko1.45
Bibiani Gold Stars0.55
1X2
Asante Kotoko
Draw
Bibiani Gold Stars
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Asante Kotoko
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Bibiani Gold Stars
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Asante Kotoko
4–2–0
Bibiani Gold Stars
(6 last)
- Bibiani Gold Stars0-0Asante Kotoko
- Asante Kotoko2-0Bibiani Gold Stars
- Bibiani Gold Stars0-1Asante Kotoko
- Bibiani Gold Stars0-0Asante Kotoko
- Asante Kotoko2-0Bibiani Gold Stars
- Asante Kotoko1-0Bibiani Gold Stars
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Asante Kotoko 1494 · Bibiani Gold Stars 1480
| Asante Kotoko | Draw | Bibiani Gold Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 29% | 13% |
| Market | 60% | 26% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Asante Kotoko: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Asante Kotoko | Bibiani Gold Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 2.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Asante Kotoko 4–2–0 Bibiani Gold Stars
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Ghana Premier League | Bibiani Gold Stars | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Asante Kotoko |
| 08/10/25 Ghana Premier League | Asante Kotoko | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bibiani Gold Stars |
| 31/08/25 Other Match | Bibiani Gold Stars | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Asante Kotoko |
| 25/05/25 Ghana Premier League | Bibiani Gold Stars | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Asante Kotoko |
| 27/12/24 Ghana Premier League | Asante Kotoko | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bibiani Gold Stars |
| 01/03/24 Ghana Premier League | Asante Kotoko | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bibiani Gold Stars |
Standings · Ghana Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama SC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Port City FC Ghana | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Samartex | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Aduana Stars | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Bechem FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Ashanti Gold | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Swedru All Blacks Utd | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Berekum Chelsea | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| 10 | Asante Kotoko | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 11 | Basake Holy Stars FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| 13 | Debibi United | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Vision FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | Karela United FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Heart of Lions | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 17 | Dreams | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 10 |
| 18 | Young Apostles | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Asante Kotoko | Bibiani Gold Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Aduana Stars | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Samartex | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Heart of Lions | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Debibi United | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Asante Kotoko (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Asante Kotoko
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Berekum Chelsea Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/11 | Medeama SC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/10 | Ashanti Gold Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Young Apostles Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 01/10 | Karela United FC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Debibi United Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Bibiani Gold Stars
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/11 | Samartex Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Debibi United Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Vision FC Ghana Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Dreams Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Hearts of Oak Ghana Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Bechem FC Ghana Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Asante Kotoko win (59%). Probabilities: Asante Kotoko 59%, draw 27%, Bibiani Gold Stars 14%.
How many goals are expected in Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars?
The model expects 2 goals (Asante Kotoko 1.45 · Bibiani Gold Stars 0.55), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.