Football · Ghana Premier League · 15/11, 16:00

Prediction: Young Apostles vs Medeama SC

Team pages: Young Apostles · Medeama SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.07Total

Young Apostles0.99

Medeama SC1.08

1X2

32% 31% 37%

Young Apostles Draw Medeama SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Young Apostles 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLLDD

Medeama SC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWLWDW

Head-to-head

Young Apostles 0–4 Medeama SC (4 last)

Medeama SC3-0Young Apostles
Young Apostles0-2Medeama SC
Medeama SC3-0Young Apostles
Young Apostles0-2Medeama SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Young Apostles 1442 · Medeama SC 1570

	Young Apostles	Draw	Medeama SC
Our model	31%	33%	36%
Market	33%	30%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Medeama SC (rating 1442 vs 1570).
H2H favours Medeama SC: 4-0-0.
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Young Apostles	Medeama SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.3	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7	3.5 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.5	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:51 +26’	2.75	3.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Young Apostles 0–0–4 Medeama SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 Ghana Premier League	Medeama SC	3-0 HT 2-0	Young Apostles
14/09/25 Ghana Premier League	Young Apostles	0-2 HT 0-1	Medeama SC
26/04/25 Ghana Premier League	Medeama SC	3-0 HT 3-0	Young Apostles
24/11/24 Ghana Premier League	Young Apostles	0-2 HT 0-1	Medeama SC

Standings · Ghana Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Medeama SC	10	6	3	1	16	8	21
2	Hearts of Oak	10	6	2	2	12	3	20
3	Port City FC Ghana	10	5	3	2	12	7	18
4	Samartex	10	5	3	2	11	7	18
5	Aduana Stars	10	5	2	3	9	5	17
6	Bechem FC	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
7	Ashanti Gold	10	4	3	3	12	10	15
8	Swedru All Blacks Utd	10	4	2	4	9	8	14
9	Berekum Chelsea	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
10	Asante Kotoko	10	3	4	3	11	12	13
11	Basake Holy Stars FC	10	4	0	6	5	10	12
12	Bibiani Gold Stars	10	3	2	5	8	10	11
13	Debibi United	10	3	2	5	9	13	11
14	Vision FC	10	2	5	3	11	11	11
15	Karela United FC	10	3	2	5	8	11	11
16	Heart of Lions	10	3	2	5	10	16	11
17	Young Apostles	10	2	2	6	5	13	8
18	Dreams	10	1	4	5	9	15	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Young Apostles	Medeama SC
Swedru All Blacks Utd	1-2 L	1-0 W
Asante Kotoko	1-2 L	1-1 D
Aduana Stars	1-0 W	1-0 W
Samartex	0-1 L	1-2 L
Heart of Lions	1-2 L	3-1 W
Debibi United	0-3 L	1-0 W
Basake Holy Stars FC	1-0 W	4-1 W
Vision FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Medeama SC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Young Apostles

LWLLLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Ashanti Gold Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/11	Karela United FC Ghana Premier League	0-0	0-0	15	3	D
25/10	Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
18/10	Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
11/10	Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
04/10	Samartex Ghana Premier League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	Debibi United Ghana Premier League	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
13/09	Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	Vision FC Ghana Premier League	0-2	0-3	6	4	L

Medeama SC

DDWWWWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Swedru All Blacks Utd Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
01/11	Asante Kotoko Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-1	13	4	D
25/10	Aduana Stars Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
18/10	Samartex Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
11/10	Heart of Lions Ghana Premier League	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
04/10	Debibi United Ghana Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
30/09	Port City FC Ghana Ghana Premier League	1-0	1-0	14	4	W
27/09	Basake Holy Stars FC Ghana Premier League	4-1	4-1	6	2	W
23/09	Dreams Ghana Premier League	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	Vision FC Ghana Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Young Apostles vs Medeama SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Medeama SC win (37%). Probabilities: Young Apostles 32%, draw 31%, Medeama SC 37%.

How many goals are expected in Young Apostles vs Medeama SC?

The model expects 2.07 goals (Young Apostles 0.99 · Medeama SC 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Young Apostles vs Medeama SC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.