Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 13/09, 17:30
Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato
Team pages: Universidad de Concepcion · Huachipato
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Universidad de Concepcion1.57
Huachipato1.36
1X2
Universidad de Concepcion
Draw
Huachipato
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Concepcion
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Huachipato
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Concepcion
0–2–4
Huachipato
(6 last)
- Huachipato5-1Universidad de Concepcion
- Huachipato2-0Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion0-1Huachipato
- Huachipato1-1Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion1-1Huachipato
- Huachipato1-0Universidad de Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Concepcion 1407 · Huachipato 1443
| Universidad de Concepcion | Draw | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Huachipato: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Concepcion | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion 0–2–4 Huachipato
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 25/09/25 Chile Regional Cup | Huachipato | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 23/11/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
| 08/02/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 18/08/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Huachipato |
| 19/05/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 47 | 31 | 39 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 39 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 24 | 33 |
| 5 | Palestino | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 33 |
| 6 | Nublense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 30 |
| 9 | La Serena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 29 |
| 11 | Audax Italiano | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 24 |
| 13 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 22 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 39 | 21 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 38 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Concepcion | Huachipato |
|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Everton de Vina | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Deportes Concepcion | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica | 1-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Union La Calera | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Nublense | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Concepcion (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 03/09 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
Huachipato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad de Concepcion win (41%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion 41%, draw 27%, Huachipato 32%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Universidad de Concepcion 1.57 · Huachipato 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.