Football · Greece Super League Women · 15/11, 11:00
Prediction: AO Rea (W) vs Asteras Tripolis (W)
Team pages: AO Rea (W) · Asteras Tripolis (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
AO Rea (W)0.73
Asteras Tripolis (W)2.12
1X2
AO Rea (W)
Draw
Asteras Tripolis (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AO Rea (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Asteras Tripolis (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AO Rea (W)
2–2–2
Asteras Tripolis (W)
(6 last)
- AO Rea (W)2-0Asteras Tripolis (W)
- Asteras Tripolis (W)0-0AO Rea (W)
- AO Rea (W)1-0Asteras Tripolis (W)
- AO Rea (W)0-1Asteras Tripolis (W)
- Asteras Tripolis (W)3-1AO Rea (W)
- Asteras Tripolis (W)1-1AO Rea (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AO Rea (W) 1514 · Asteras Tripolis (W) 1575
| AO Rea (W) | Draw | Asteras Tripolis (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 21% | 68% |
| Market | 11% | 20% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asteras Tripolis (W) (rating 1514 vs 1575).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AO Rea (W) | Asteras Tripolis (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 3.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/11/44% | 63/13/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AO Rea (W) 2–2–2 Asteras Tripolis (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Greece Super League Women | AO Rea (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Asteras Tripolis (W) |
| 08/02/26 Greece Super League Women | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AO Rea (W) |
| 14/01/26 Greece Cup Women | AO Rea (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Asteras Tripolis (W) |
| 08/03/25 Greece Super League Women | AO Rea (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Asteras Tripolis (W) |
| 09/11/24 Greece Super League Women | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | AO Rea (W) |
| 19/03/24 Greece Super League Women | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | AO Rea (W) |
Standings · Greece Super League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PAOK Salonika (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
| 2 | Asteras Tripolis (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | AEK Athens (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Volos NFC (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | Agia Paraskevi (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 7 | AO Rea (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | AE Kifisias (W) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 5 |
| 9 | Seirines Grevenon (W) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
| 10 | Pyrgos AFC (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
| 11 | OFI FC (W) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| 12 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AO Rea (W) | Asteras Tripolis (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Odysseas Moschatou (W) | 2-0 W | 6-1 W |
| AE Kifisias (W) | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Asteras Tripolis (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AO Rea (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Panathinaikos (W) Greece Super League Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/10 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | AE Kifisias (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | Volos NFC (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Agia Paraskevi (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Asteras Tripolis (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Volos NFC (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Agia Paraskevi (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Panathinaikos (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 28/03 | PAOK Salonika (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Asteras Tripolis (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | OFI FC (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/11 | Seirines Grevenon (W) Greece Super League Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) Greece Super League Women |
4-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Pyrgos AFC (W) Greece Super League Women |
– | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | AE Kifisias (W) Greece Super League Women |
5-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | AO Rea (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | AEK Athens (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Odysseas Moschatou (W) Greece Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Nees Atromitou (W) Greece Super League Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Trikala 2011 (W) Greece Super League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AO Rea (W) vs Asteras Tripolis (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Asteras Tripolis (W) win (69%). Probabilities: AO Rea (W) 11%, draw 20%, Asteras Tripolis (W) 69%.
How many goals are expected in AO Rea (W) vs Asteras Tripolis (W)?
The model expects 2.85 goals (AO Rea (W) 0.73 · Asteras Tripolis (W) 2.12), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AO Rea (W) vs Asteras Tripolis (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.