Football · Poland IV Liga · 05/09, 11:00

Prediction: Orleta Kielce vs Korona Kielce III

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.12Total
Orleta Kielce1.79
Korona Kielce III1.33
1X2
48% 24% 28%
Orleta Kielce Draw Korona Kielce III
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Orleta Kielce 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWLWLDWWD
Korona Kielce III 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WWDLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orleta Kielce 1538 · Korona Kielce III 1457
Orleta KielceDrawKorona Kielce III
Our model47%25%27%
Market49%22%29%
Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orleta Kielce (rating 1538 vs 1457).
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Orleta KielceKorona Kielce III
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.11.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.61 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 72.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.24.2 / 0.2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOrleta KielceKorona Kielce III
Spartakus Daleszyce 3-0 W 1-2 L
GKS Rudki 2-1 W 0-1 L
Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna 2-2 D 3-3 D
Moravia Morawica 1-3 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Orleta Kielce (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orleta Kielce

DWWLWLDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-0 42 D
26/08 Spartakus Daleszyce
Poland IV Liga
2-0 3-0 98 W
23/05 GKS Rudki
Poland IV Liga
0-0 2-1 105 W
08/05 Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna
Poland IV Liga
1-1 2-2 51 D
04/04 Moravia Morawica
Poland IV Liga
1-2 1-3 78 L
14/03 Orlicz Suchedniow
Poland IV Liga
0-0 2-0 45 W
19/11 GKS Rudki
Poland IV Liga
0-2 0-3 34 L
22/10 Piaskowianka Piaski
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-1 73 W
19/10 Victoria Skalbmierz
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-0 154 W
21/09 Spartakus Daleszyce
Poland IV Liga
1-1 1-1 64 D

Korona Kielce III

WWDLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/08 Spartakus Daleszyce
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-2 24 L
23/08 Neptun Konskie
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-1 18 L
15/08 Wierna Malogoszcz
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-0 25 W
30/05 Moravia Morawica
Poland IV Liga
0-1 0-3 31 L
09/05 Hetman Wloszczowa
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-2 37 L
12/04 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj
Poland IV Liga
0-1 0-3 133 L
04/04 GKS Rudki
Poland IV Liga
0-0 0-1 15 L
14/03 Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna
Poland IV Liga
0-1 3-3 61 D
04/10 Hetman Wloszczowa
Poland IV Liga
5-0 8-0 44 W
20/09 Neptun Konskie
Poland IV Liga
2-0 4-1 36 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orleta Kielce vs Korona Kielce III?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orleta Kielce win (48%). Probabilities: Orleta Kielce 48%, draw 24%, Korona Kielce III 28%.

How many goals are expected in Orleta Kielce vs Korona Kielce III?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Orleta Kielce 1.79 · Korona Kielce III 1.33), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Orleta Kielce vs Korona Kielce III?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.