Football · England Isthmian Division One North · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Lowestoft Town vs Bowers Pitsea

Team pages: Lowestoft Town · Bowers Pitsea

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Lowestoft Town1.34
Bowers Pitsea1.9
1X2
26% 24% 50%
Lowestoft Town Draw Bowers Pitsea
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Lowestoft Town 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLDDWLLWLL
Bowers Pitsea 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWDLWWWWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lowestoft Town 1437 · Bowers Pitsea 1533
Lowestoft TownDrawBowers Pitsea
Our model26%24%50%
Market26%24%50%
Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bowers Pitsea (rating 1437 vs 1533).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lowestoft TownBowers Pitsea
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.61.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.40.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/22/67%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.21.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.13.6 / 0.6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLowestoft TownBowers Pitsea
Wroxham 1-6 L 3-1 W
Walthamstow 0-4 L 1-0 W
Concord Rangers 1-3 L 4-2 W
Stanway Rovers 0-4 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bowers Pitsea (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lowestoft Town

LLDDWLLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/08 Wroxham
England Isthmian Division One North
1-4 1-6 43 L
25/08 Mulbarton Wanderers
England Isthmian Division One North
0-1 0-2 54 L
18/08 Fakenham Town
England Isthmian Division One North
3-2 W
03/03 Walthamstow
England Isthmian Division One North
0-3 0-4 83 L
28/02 Concord Rangers
England Isthmian Division One North
0-1 1-3 84 L
17/02 Mildenhall Town
England Isthmian Division One North
1-0 2-0 42 W
25/11 Maldon Tiptree FC
England Isthmian Division One North
0-0 1-1 26 D
18/11 Concord Rangers
England Isthmian Division One North
1-1 2-2 41 D
11/11 Stanway Rovers
England Isthmian Division One North
0-1 0-4 12 L
15/10 Gorleston
England Isthmian Division One North
0-2 1-2 25 L

Bowers Pitsea

DWDLWWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/08 Tilbury
England Isthmian Division One North
0-0 0-0 64 D
17/08 Redbridge
England Isthmian Division One North
0-1 2-4 53 L
31/01 Cambridge City
England Isthmian Division One North
2-0 3-2 33 W
27/12 Concord Rangers
England Isthmian Division One North
1-2 4-2 24 W
16/12 Tilbury
England Isthmian Division One North
0-0 1-0 74 W
11/11 Walthamstow
England Isthmian Division One North
1-0 1-0 66 W
31/10 Grays Athletic
England Isthmian Division One North
0-2 1-2 27 L
14/10 Stanway Rovers
England Isthmian Division One North
1-0 2-2 43 D
11/10 Wroxham
England Isthmian Division One North
2-1 3-1 36 W
30/09 Witham Town
England Isthmian Division One North
0-0 1-1 52 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lowestoft Town vs Bowers Pitsea?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bowers Pitsea win (50%). Probabilities: Lowestoft Town 26%, draw 24%, Bowers Pitsea 50%.

How many goals are expected in Lowestoft Town vs Bowers Pitsea?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Lowestoft Town 1.34 · Bowers Pitsea 1.9), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lowestoft Town vs Bowers Pitsea?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.