Football · Lithuania A Lyga Women · 05/09, 18:00
Prediction: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)
Team pages: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) · FK Transinvest (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)2.75
FK Transinvest (W)0.75
1X2
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
Draw
FK Transinvest (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
FK Transinvest (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
3–3
FK Transinvest (W)
(6 last)
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)4-1FK Transinvest (W)
- FK Transinvest (W)0-5FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)3-0FK Transinvest (W)
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)0-1FK Transinvest (W)
- FK Transinvest (W)3-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)0-4FK Transinvest (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 1543 · FK Transinvest (W) 1432
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | Draw | FK Transinvest (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 84% | 10% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) (rating 1543 vs 1432).
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | FK Transinvest (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/10/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 3–0–3 FK Transinvest (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | FK Transinvest (W) |
| 18/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Transinvest (W) | 0-5 HT 0-1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) |
| 26/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Transinvest (W) |
| 09/11/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Transinvest (W) |
| 07/09/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Transinvest (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) |
| 15/06/25 Lithuania A Lyga Women | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | FK Transinvest (W) |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) | FK Transinvest (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gintra Universitetas (W) | 0-1 L | 2-5 L |
| Kauno Rajono FA (W) | 2-0 W | 6-1 W |
| FK Banga (W) | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| MFA Zalgiris (W) | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| FA Siauliai (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | FK Transinvest (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Banga (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/06 | FK Transinvest (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 27/05 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
FK Transinvest (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/06 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
3-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | MFA Zalgiris (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | FA Siauliai (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | FK Banga (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Gintra Universitetas (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | Kauno Rajono FA (W) Lithuania A Lyga Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) win (81%). Probabilities: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 81%, draw 12%, FK Transinvest (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)?
The model expects 3.51 goals (FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) 2.75 · FK Transinvest (W) 0.75), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) vs FK Transinvest (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.