Football · Israel Liga Bet South · 03/09, 19:00
Prediction: MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Segev Shalom
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.08Total
MS Shikun Hamizrah2.44
Hapoel Segev Shalom1.64
1X2
MS Shikun Hamizrah
Draw
Hapoel Segev Shalom
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
MS Shikun Hamizrah
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Segev Shalom
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MS Shikun Hamizrah
3–1–2
Hapoel Segev Shalom
(6 last)
- Hapoel Segev Shalom2-4MS Shikun Hamizrah
- MS Shikun Hamizrah4-2Hapoel Segev Shalom
- MS Shikun Hamizrah0-1Hapoel Segev Shalom
- Hapoel Segev Shalom0-0MS Shikun Hamizrah
- Hapoel Segev Shalom2-1MS Shikun Hamizrah
- Hapoel Segev Shalom0-1MS Shikun Hamizrah
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MS Shikun Hamizrah 1548 · Hapoel Segev Shalom 1469
| MS Shikun Hamizrah | Draw | Hapoel Segev Shalom | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 21% | 25% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MS Shikun Hamizrah (rating 1548 vs 1469).
- H2H favours MS Shikun Hamizrah: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MS Shikun Hamizrah | Hapoel Segev Shalom | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 2.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MS Shikun Hamizrah 3–1–2 Hapoel Segev Shalom
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/26 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Segev Shalom | 2-4 HT 1-2 | MS Shikun Hamizrah |
| 17/10/25 Israel Liga Bet South | MS Shikun Hamizrah | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Hapoel Segev Shalom |
| 19/03/25 Israel Liga Bet South | MS Shikun Hamizrah | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Segev Shalom |
| 30/11/24 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Segev Shalom | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MS Shikun Hamizrah |
| 01/03/24 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Segev Shalom | 2-1 HT 0-0 | MS Shikun Hamizrah |
| 03/02/23 Israel Liga Bet South | Hapoel Segev Shalom | 0-1 HT 0-1 | MS Shikun Hamizrah |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MS Shikun Hamizrah | Hapoel Segev Shalom |
|---|---|---|
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Sderot | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| SC Ramla | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Maccabi Ironi Netivot | 4-0 W | 6-4 W |
| FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Maccabi Beer Yaakov | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: MS Shikun Hamizrah (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MS Shikun Hamizrah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/02 | Hapoel Yeruham Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/02 | Hapoel Segev Shalom Israel Liga Bet South |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/02 | Sderot Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/01 | Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/01 | FC Arad Israel Liga Bet South |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/12 | SC Ramla Israel Liga Bet South |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 22/12 | Maccabi Ironi Netivot Israel Liga Bet South |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/12 | FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod Israel Liga Bet South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/11 | Maccabi Beer Yaakov Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
Hapoel Segev Shalom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02 | Hapoel Ashkelon Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/02 | MS Shikun Hamizrah Israel Liga Bet South |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/01 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Bet South |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/01 | Sderot Israel Liga Bet South |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/01 | Ihud Tzeirey Abu Gosh Israel Liga Bet South |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 15/12 | SC Ramla Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 04/12 | Maccabi Ironi Netivot Israel Liga Bet South |
3-1 | 6-4 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/11 | Maccabi Beer Sheva Israel Liga Bet South |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 07/11 | FC Hapoel Bnei Ashdod Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 30/10 | Maccabi Beer Yaakov Israel Liga Bet South |
0-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Segev Shalom?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MS Shikun Hamizrah win (54%). Probabilities: MS Shikun Hamizrah 54%, draw 22%, Hapoel Segev Shalom 24%.
How many goals are expected in MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Segev Shalom?
The model expects 4.08 goals (MS Shikun Hamizrah 2.44 · Hapoel Segev Shalom 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in MS Shikun Hamizrah vs Hapoel Segev Shalom?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.